China mining shock may not be over yet, experts suggest

by Coy Buckley

Despite Bitcoin’s perceived hash rate recovery, analysts noted that the recent 150 EH/s reading was based on a short 24-hour window.

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China mining shock may not be over yet, experts suggest

Earlier this year, the Chinese government took the momentous step to ban any crypto mining operations based within its borders, causing a massive exodus of hashing power — 168 exa hashes per second (EH/s) to nearly 86 EH/s as of June 23, representing a drop of nearly 40% — from China to surrounding countries. 

As a quick refresher, the hash rate refers to the total computational power needed to acquire a single Bitcoin (BTC). In other words, one can say that while central banks issue fiat currencies, miners are provided with new Bitcoin for solving pieces of complex mathematical code referred to as blocks.

Prior to the ban, China laid claim to 65% of the world's total Bitcoin hashing power. Since the aforementioned move, however, a massive number of mining pool operators have packed up their suitcases and left for greener pastures. In one example, Canadian mining firm Bitfarms noted that its revenue had increased by nearly 30% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2021, with the company mining 26% more BTC than it had done so in comparison to the previous quarter.

What’s happening exactly?

After a couple of months of turmoil, BTC’s hash rate levels now seem to have stabilized once again, with numbers seemingly returning to where they once were a few months ago. In this regard, data made available by crypto analytics firm CryptoQuant shows that the metric seems to have once again topped the 150 Exahashes mark at 152 EH/s, tripling the levels it had reached on June 28 (52 EH/s).

It is also worth mentioning that on May 13, Bitcoin's average hash rate scaled up to an all-time high of 197.6 EH/s, only for the figure to slump by more than 65% as mining rigs across China were faced with the “great migration.” That said, with the metric now approaching early June levels, it is estimated that new all-time high values could be registered in the next couple of months.

Providing his thoughts on the matter, Kevin Zhang, vice president of business development at crypto mining firm Foundry, told Cointelegraph that despite the perceived recovery, things are still far from returning “back to normal,” adding that the 152 EH/s reading was based on a short 24-hour hash rate estimate window, where luck was high across the entire network and blocks were solved faster than expected, adding:

“Right now, the 24 hour moving average for hash rate is once again hovering around ~130EH/s, which is in line with its three- and seven-day moving averages. BTCs hash rate is certainly recovering and returning back to normal. However, a majority — if not all — of the large-scale miners in China that were displaced from the crackdowns have either shipped their mining fleets abroad or are warehousing them until they can find open hosting capacity.”

He further highlighted that, as things stand, the entire world is still constrained on readily available infrastructure that can support all of the displaced mining units to help maintain Bitcoin’s hash difficulty.

“It certainly is exciting to see hash rate come online and a lot of it is coming from new orders finally being delivered. By the end of the year, we very well could be setting new all-time-highs for network difficulty and hash rate”, Zhang closed out by saying.

Effects of China's ban will linger

Philip Salter, chief technical officer for Bitcoin mining firm Genesis Digital Assets, told Cointelegraph that many Chinese miners have continued to hold out, hoping for an improvement of the situation inside China or possibly wait for an attractive opportunity to relocate overseas. 

However, he added that most sizable mining sites have been bought up over the course of 2021, and there is simply no short-term capacity for deploying 5-8 gigawatts of mining hardware, basically implying that the situation hasn’t really reached any sort of tangible resolution just yet. Salter added:

“So, the situation isn't over yet and I think we'll be seeing the effects of China's mining exodus for at least another year. Probably most mining hardware will resurface sooner or later and the hash rate will return. But, we will need to wait and see if it will happen slowly over time, or if panic fueled hardware sales will dump the market prices.”

Similarly, founder and CEO of mining firm BitRiver Igor Rugnets told Cointelegraph that while a rebound in BTCs hash rate figures was bound to occur — as previously ordered machines continue to be delivered to their international buyers — he still believes that most machines that went offline in China due to the crackdown are still yet to find a home abroad.

On a technical note, Rugnets pointed out that in the few weeks following the crackdown Bitcoin’s total hash rate lost over 60 exahashes of computing power. And given that most of those mining machines were not the latest-generation machines, he believes that a total of 750,000 machines would have most likely gone offline as a result of the crackdown.

Lastly, in Rugnets' view, Bitcoin’s hash rate will continue to rise as previously ordered machines continue to be shipped by manufacturers. Furthermore, he pointed out that every unit of these new mining machines packs in about eight-times more hash rate compared with older generation machines that dominated the Chinese market previously. “Bitcoin’s hash rate may even set a new all-time-high before year-end,” he said.

North American mining companies step up

As per data released by the Cambridge Electricity Index, United States-based mining pools have started sweeping up large portions of BTC’s hash rate even before June, a time when China’s local ban hadn’t even come into full effect. In this regard, Riot, a U.S.-based mining firm, reported $31.5 million in mining-related revenues for the three-month period — up over 1,500% from its Q2 2020 revenue of $1.9 million. 

The firm also reported a 38% increase in the total number of Bitcoin it was able to mine compared with the previous quarter, generating 675 BTC compared with 491 BTC in Q1. In fact, Riot recently initiated a $650-million 400 megawatt expansion project with Whinstone US, with a total of four additional power production facilities currently under construction.

Other North American mining firms that have recorded staggering year-to-date gains include Marathon (268%), Bitfarms (210%), Riot (126%) and Hut8 (180%). Not only that, data suggests that the aforementioned companies were able to generate an average of 58% more Bitcoin during the month of July than in June.

Commenting on his company’s recent performance, Marathon Digital Holdings CEO Fred Thiel revealed that during the second quarter of the year, the firm’s revenue rose by a sizable 220% (to nearly $30 million) in comparison with the previous quarter. Additionally, the company’s hash rate also increased by a whopping 196% over the aforementioned time window.

Thus, it will be interesting to see how Bitcoin’s hash rate recovery proceeds from here on out, especially with an increasing number of firms across the globe stepping up their production capacities.

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“Ethereum’s ascent to the top of the cryptoverse seems unstoppable,” declared Nigel Green in mid-August, and it’s not hard to see why the deVere CEO thinks this. DeFi is on a tear, NFTs are mushrooming, Ethereum (ETH) remains more scalable than Bitcoin (BTC) and it also offers more uses including smart contracts. Moreover, Ethereum will soon move to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus algorithm, looking to be more eco-friendly than Bitcoin’s energy-intensive proof-of-work (PoW) protocol.

“Ethereum is already years ahead of Bitcoin in everything but price and fame,” said Green earlier this year, adding: “There’s a real sense that 2021 is the year for Ether. Its time has come.” But, is it really a foregone conclusion that the world’s first, largest and best-known cryptocurrency is ready to relinquish its market-cap crown? Maybe not.

“If you look at CoinMarketCap’s homepage over the past five years, Ethereum is usually sitting in second position, right under Bitcoin — and it really hasn’t moved from that number two spot in any permanent way since its launch,” Molly Jane Zuckerman, content lead at CoinMarketCap, told Cointelegraph, adding: “History shows us that there is only one cryptocurrency that can ever claim the ‘king of the cryptoverse’ title.”

So, is there a chance for a flippening — the term often used to describe a reversal of ETH and BTC? Are altcoins still benefiting from the light that shines upon Bitcoin or are they stepping out and becoming popular by themselves? Ultimately, can the two even be compared since they are seen to serve different purposes within the crypto and the wider finance space?

Not a done deal

“Ethereum’s eventual dominance is hardly a sure thing,” commented Eswar Prasad, professor of economics at Cornell University and author of the soon-to-be-published book, “The Future of Money.” There could be technical complications with Ethereum’s switch to the PoS consensus protocol, “and there are many risks of attacks on DeFi products that could undermine confidence in those products and in Ethereum itself,” he told Cointelegraph.

Still, Bitcoin hasn’t proven itself as an effective medium of exchange, added Prasad, and its blockchain has only “limited functionality” compared with Ethereum, specifically when it comes to decentralized finance (DeFi): “Ethereum provides more flexibility, especially for DeFi products and services, and it has the potential to become a viable and efficient medium of exchange, featuring both low latency and high throughput for transactions.”

Maybe Green went a bit too far, suggested associate professor of finance at the University of Western Australia Lee Smales. “Inevitable” is a strong word, after all, he told Cointelegraph, “but, I’d say it’s highly likely that this will occur — although the recent rally in Bitcoin has outpaced that in Ethereum and has maybe delayed the timing a little bit. I would suspect it [flippening] happens in the next two to three years.”

So, how long?

Many seem to be betting on Ethereum and the question is often: not if but when? Ether could surpass Bitcoin as the crypto world’s top store of value in the coming years, said Goldman Sachs analysts in July, while deVere’s Green put the flippening “probably within five years.”

“I think it will be difficult for ETH to flip Bitcoin any time soon,” Justin Hartzman, CEO and co-founder of Canadian-based crypto exchange CoinSmart, told Cointelegraph. “The next [BTC] halving is in 2024, which will inevitably push the price up. Also, keep in mind that ‘Ethereum killers’ like Cardano and Tezos are coming up big time. If they work out, they could siphon out a lot of potential market cap from Ethereum’s kitty.” If the trading of places does occur, “I could see it potentially happening in five to six years.”

“I don’t believe in terms of market cap and overall valuation that Ethereum will surpass Bitcoin,” CEO of Banz Capital John Iadeluca told Cointelegraph, adding: “Bitcoin stands as the global ‘introduction’ to cryptocurrency, at least for the foreseeable future. For example, I don't see any scenario where the SEC approves an Ethereum ETF prior to approving a Bitcoin ETF.”

Jason Peckham, an analyst at investment management firm Invictus Capital, told Cointelegraph: “I disagree that it’s inevitable. In fact, five years is enough time for an outsider to flip ETH and BTC both.” A lot hinges on how the two crypto communities manage their regulatory challenges, he added, as well as internal factors, like the pace “at which ETH has been burnt at post-EIP-1559,” which should make it less inflationary and potentially more attractive to investors. He added:

“If I had to pin it on one thing, I would say that ETH needs the supercycle/double bubble thesis to play out. That should allow for its various sectors to continue prospering in a way that won’t be possible in a bear market, which would likely be bearish for ETH relative to BTC as we have seen historically.”

Environmental factors must also be taken into account. Bitcoin mining’s prodigious use of electricity has been long known, but when Elon Musk drew wider attention to it earlier this year, BTC’s price plunged. While Bitcoin has rallied since then, “the energy [issue] continues to garner attention,” said Smales, and that should only intensify. “So, the Ethereum move to PoS creates an additional advantage that could result in the flip occurring sooner.”

What could derail Ethereum?

Green recounted that ETH had already gained 300% in 2021, compared with only 55% for BTC, and it has outperformed all other assets during the first half of the year. Is there anything that could halt its momentum?

In order to stay in contention for flippening BTC, Ethereum needs to maintain its role as the biggest smart contract platform, however, some new competitors continue to emerge. “POS is not completely proven as of yet,” said Smales, and it could evolve so that the market is dominated by a few very large players — essentially centralizing it — creating market frictions and possibly even higher transaction fees.

The EIP-1559 upgrade was supposed to make Ethereum gas fees more manageable, but according to YCharts, the average gas fees have reached a three-month high. Given that the gas fees have placed a continuous strain on the usability of the network, the upgrade to Ethereum 2.0, or Eth2, cannot come soon enough.

Moreover, Bitcoin isn’t standing still, technologically speaking. “The planned Taproot upgrade could significantly enhance Bitcoin’s efficiency, privacy and the functionality of its blockchain,” said Prasad.

Bitcoin also enjoys the “first mover” advantage which can be critical with networks. “The case for BTC's dominance boils down to its superior Lindy Effect,” Peckham told Cointelegraph, referring to a concept popularized by Nicholas Taleb which holds that the older a technology is, the longer will be its life expectancy. “Together with this is the long-term trend towards stronger-handed market participants holding the majority of Bitcoin while the rest of the world continues to be drawn into owning their stake in the headline cryptocurrency,” added Peckham.

Still, Ethereum seems to have momentum now. “The trends in the crypto markets have indeed been shifting towards Ethereum ever since the explosion of the DeFi summer, followed by the continuing popularity of NFTs,” said Zuckerman, as Peckham added:

“Cohorts of users were drawn into Ethereum for DeFi and for NFTs, while Bitcoin is less diverse in its range of uses by comparison. Most of what crypto natives like myself are excited about in crypto right now is either built on Ethereum or an Ethereum competitor.”

Ethereum has the richest ecosystem in the crypto space, and DeFi, which largely lives on Ethereum, today holds vast amounts in total value locked, despite the early summer downturn and assertions that DeFi was just a bubble with no inherent value.

“DeFi had its strictest test yet and passed with flying colors. The number of DeFi users has already passed 3.25 million as utility and use cases increase every day,” said Hartzman, adding: “With more applications and users coming in, Ethereum could leverage Metcalfe’s Law and exponentially increase its overall network value.”

Are Bitcoin and Ethereum really comparable?

Upon further reflection, though, does it even make sense to compare Bitcoin with Ethereum? One is a (putative) form of money, the other is a platform, a new supercomputer powering Web 3.0, upon which one can build new technologies, arguably.

Right now, the two platforms perform different tasks. Once the effects of the Taproot upgrade come to the forefront and developers start constructing a DeFi ecosystem around the Bitcoin network, then that could turn into a whole new argument. For right now, however, Bitcoin is primarily a store-of-value while Ethereum is a decentralized application platform. “This is not a ‘Coca-Cola vs Pepsi’ debate. This is a ‘gold vs internet’ debate,” said Hartzman.

“Both Ethereum and Bitcoin are cryptocurrencies, but vision-wise, they pursue two very different goals,” added Iadeluca: “I don’t believe Bitcoin and Ethereum are in competition with one another; rather, I believe their respective growth compliments one another.”

Related: London’s impact: Ethereum 2.0's staking contract becomes largest ETH holder

“From a technical standpoint, they are fundamentally different,” stated Peckham, but from an investor’s perspective, it does make some sense to compare them.

“Bitcoin is unique as a store-of-value,” said Hartzman. “There really is nothing quite like Bitcoin, and there won’t be anything like it any time soon. However, having said all that, it is impossible to bet against Ethereum due to its incredible network value, rich community and pace of innovation.”

Peckham told Cointelegraph: “As a trader right now, I’m more optimistic about Ethereum in terms of price action. I think it will continue to offer superior upside to Bitcoin in a bull run.”

Rather than picking a winner, though, “a more realistic prospect,” Prasad told Cointelegraph, is that “over the next few years, Bitcoin and Ethereum cement their joint dominance of the crypto space while the competition between their adherents leads to innovations in both ecosystems.”

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Although the cryptocurrency sector may still be considered the “Wild West” by some governments and regulators, continued adoption and emerging use cases show that digital currencies are here to stay. Some even argue that blockchain-based networks and decentralized finance, or DeFi, platforms may soon replace traditional financial systems.

Yet despite ongoing progress, the crypto industry is still young and, therefore, requires further development before it can be widely accepted. One area in particular that needs deeper addressing within the crypto space is regulation.

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at Allianz — a German multinational financial services company — stated in a Financial Times article that it’s the duty of crypto proponents to cultivate better relationships with regulatory stakeholders, given the disruptive nature of the novel tech.

Fortunately, some members within the crypto community understand that relationships with regulators, policymakers and the public sector are necessary to foster adoption. As a result, working groups focused on developing standards for the blockchain space are beginning to emerge.

Working groups drive innovation for adoption

For example, leaders across the cash-to-crypto industry recently announced the formation of the Cryptocurrency Compliance Cooperative, or CCC. Founded by Bitcoin ATM operators DigitalMint and Coinsource, along with blockchain analysis platform Chainalysis, the CCC is a collaborative association that aims to develop compliance standards to legitimize the Bitcoin ATM industry in the United States.

This is especially important given the fact that nearly 48 cryptocurrency ATMs are installed per day in the United States. While impressive, industry participants have previously noted that in countries such as Canada, Know Your Customer compliance for crypto ATMs has only recently been implemented.

Bo Oney, executive vice president of operations and head of compliance at Coinsource, told Cointelegraph that although there has been exponential growth and maturity in the cash-to-crypto industry — especially with Bitcoin ATMs in the U.S. — there is still a lack of Anti-Money Laundering processes among companies. Many of these operators also lack financial crime prevention departments. As such, Oney explained that the CCC was formed to combat fraud and nefarious use cases:

“The best way to overcome the challenges faced by the cash-to-crypto industry is through this cooperative. We plan to publish logical and responsible standards that adequately address the concerns we are seeing, and then to share them with our industry. We hope that these are adopted in scale by all the companies in this sector and that we can define future regulations.”

While developing standards for the cash-to-crypto industry is the main objective behind the CCC, it’s important to point out the collaborative nature of the association. Marc Grens, co-founder and president of DigitalMint, told Cointelegraph that CCC hopes to bring together some of the best minds in the industry. Grens noted that this will ultimately allow for key players in the space to join forces to determine standards for an ever-growing, often misunderstood sector.

Grens emphasized that there wasn’t much of an impact when the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, of FINCEN, came out with official guidance in 2013 saying that cryptocurrency exchanges and money transmitters must act as money services businesses under the Bank Secrecy Act:

“This guidance is like putting a square peg in a round hole. Regulators didn’t know much about cryptocurrency at this time, and basically took that act and shoved this industry in there. These individuals aren’t looking behind closed doors at what is really going on though.”

As Grens explained, the cash-to-cryptocurrency industry learned early that organizations needed to come together to deliver data-driven, objective facts about the fraudulent activity happening in the space: “The current money service business act is not enough to combat illicit activity.”

Oney further hopes that the CCC will become a milestone for the crypto ecosystem, as different players in an emerging, increasingly competitive space will join forces to develop standards for the betterment of an industry: “We don't need government involvement to set standards.”

Although this may be, Oney did share that the CCC has close relationships with members of U.S. law enforcement, including those involved with the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Department of Homeland Security, and local and state agencies. “We want to educate and communicate these individuals on what the standards should be. They can then implement the policies.”

The CCC is just one example of a collaborative association working to define cryptocurrency sector standards for regulators to adopt. Hailey Lennon, partner at law firm Anderson Kill, told Cointelegraph that various trade associations have developed over the last few years. She mentioned that some of these include the Blockchain Association, Virtual Commodity Association and Crypto Council for Innovation.

According to Lennon, it’s logical for crypto and blockchain companies to want to be a part of working groups and trade associations to help educate regulators, especially with all the different state and federal regulations floating around the space: “Regulation stifles innovation; carefully crafted regulation does less harm.”

This certainly does seem to be the case for the maturing cryptocurrency industry. For example, Chen Arad, chief operating officer of Solidus Labs — a risk monitoring platform for digital assets — told Cointelegraph that collaborative groups that share data and cross-market surveillance are key to answering the Bitcoin (BTC) futures exchange-traded fund (ETF) question. He remarked:

“The lack of shared surveillance agreements in crypto is the main reason for the SEC’s rejections of Bitcoin-ETF rule-change applications. The SEC wants to know if traders are manipulating Bitcoin across more than one exchange. Monitoring for this requires data-sharing agreements that would allow cross-market surveillance.”

Arad added that aside from the crypto sector, there have been plenty of examples of industry-driven self-regulation that has enabled new technologies to solve regulatory challenges and prosper. “The Online Lending Network in the lending space and the Intermarket Surveillance Group in the securities space have been created by those industries to solve very similar cross-platform concerns.”

Will working groups make an impact?

Lennon pointed out that many of the cryptocurrency working groups and collaborative associations mentioned are not currently recognized as official self-regulatory organizations, or SROs. In turn, Lennon explained that it may be challenging for regulators to work with these groups:

“An SRO is typically given legislative authority from a regulatory agency that allows it to create policies and enforce them in a specific industry. For example, FINRA is an SRO for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Currently, none of the organizations mentioned here have the legislative authority to function as an SRO and, therefore, they are more trade associations or working groups who provide suggestions for how regulations impact the space.”

Lennon explained that these groups are indeed helpful but don’t hold the same authority as SROs. Echoing this sentiment, Zachary Kelman, managing partner of Kelman PLLC and general counsel of Cointelegraph, believes that it helps to have an organizational body put out standards, but that the federal government generally looks at traditional industry standards: “The federal government has an agenda. They manage money service businesses and want them to comply with certain laws.”

Despite this, Kelman pointed out that it may be easier for cryptocurrency working groups to approach state regulators when it comes to standards, mentioning that this is the case especially as many U.S. states, such as Florida, now try to become crypto havens:

“It may be possible to have a standard for cryptocurrency ATMs on a state level as an educational tool for state regulators. If these standards are fairly uniform across the industry, then this could be helpful to coordinate efforts across the country.”

While this makes sense, Lennon remarked that another challenge is the growing number of working groups within the crypto space. In particular, Lennon is concerned that with so many working groups, there are overlapping goals and potentially conflicting messages: “In a perfect world, there would be collaboration between, or merging of, many of these groups to bring more cohesion to the industry.”

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The nonfungible token (NFT) space is arguably one of the most popular aspects of crypto and blockchain technology. Indeed, NFTs are often the topic of conversation, garnering significant interest both from inside and outside the industry.

Such is the growing appeal of NFTs outside the crypto space that major brands like Visa and Budweiser are now acquiring popular items from popular collections. These moves are different from the usual corporate interactions with nonfungible tokens that often involve creating their own digital goods.

As is often the case with crypto and blockchain matters, significant adoption from major legacy players triggers a FOMO-driven frenzy. Several NFT collections have seen massive price floor raises as other collectors hop into the trend.

Beyond the current hype, some crypto proponents say NFTs offer more than memetic appeal and can be the “killer app” for Web 3.0. If such assertions prove true, then nonfungible tokens could be a conduit for gamified investments in the emerging decentralized web, becoming the focal point of the next iteration of the internet similar to how e-commerce and social media have dominated the current cyberspace.

Visa buys Crypto Punk

On Aug. 23, Visa announced that it had purchased Crypto Punk #7610 for 49.50 Ether (ETH) — about $149,939 at the time of writing. The news arguably caused a stir in the crypto space and even beyond with several CryptoPunks getting snapped up by wealthy buyers keen to get in on the action.

CryptoPunks is among a league of “OG” NFTs from 2017, long before the current hype surrounding nonfungible tokens. Created by Larva Labs back in June 2017, the collection contains 10,000 pixelated images measuring 24-by-24 pixels set in the 8-bit pixel art style.

Punks have been hailed as being the inspiration for the ERC-721 token standard for NFTs and the precursor to blockchain-based generative art.

Upon the initial release, Crypto Punks were available for free to interested collectors. With NFTs gaining in popularity since 2020, the vintage (at least by nonfungible token standard) collection has become increasingly sought after.

According to the Larva Labs website, the cheapest CryptoPunk available for purchase is priced at 119 ETH (about $400,000). Several owners reportedly delisted their Punks in the wake of the Visa purchase amid a wave of fresh interest following the news.

As of the time of writing, the 30-day trading volume for CryptoPunks has crossed over half a billion dollars. CryptoPunks trading activity is over half of the NFT volume recorded in August.

Chinese internet billionaires have also jumped on the train, acquiring CryptoPunks for huge sums of money.

These days, premium NFTs like CryptoPunks seem to have become a status symbol akin to the Lamborghini fascination of crypto’s earlier days. It is now common to see celebrities from inside and outside the crypto world sporting popular NFTs as their profile pictures on social media accounts.

NFT adoption and corporate brand management

Detailing the reason for its CryptoPunks purchase, Visa’s crypto chief Cuy Sheffield stated, “To help our clients and partners participate, we need a first-hand understanding of the infrastructure requirements for a global brand to purchase, store, and leverage an NFT.” While corporate NFT adoption is not a new phenomenon, actually buying an NFT rather than launching a digital collection based on a company’s offerings makes Visa’s move significantly novel.

Related: Clever user makes $80K profit in CryptoPunk 'smash and grab'

Jesse Johnson, founder and chief operating officer of Aavegotchi creator Pixelcraft Studios, told Cointelegraph that Visa’s foray into the NFT space is only “the tip of the iceberg.”

“The market is going to increasingly see brands, organizations and businesses embrace NFTs over the coming months and years. It will start as a new way to connect with customers but eventually evolve entire industries.”

Johnson told Cointelegraph that NFT popularity will drive entire industries to re-examine and realign their incentives with their customers.

According to Christian Ferri, co-founder and CEO of NFTPro, a company that provides NFT market guidance to global brands like Prada and Lamborghini, corporate interest in nonfungible tokens covers investments and marketing, as well as driving increased brand engagement among the younger demographics.

Speaking to Cointelegraph, Ferri said that the current hype around expensive NFT collectibles will subside, stating:

“As the market turns, most if not all NFTs not tied to a high-status, the high-equity name will drop in value considerably, if not disappear. This dynamic will reset the attention on a new scale of digital worth, where NFT buyers will seek and demand digital authentic products from known names that, on wide consensus, carry a higher, more predictable weight.”

There is already growing NFT interest in the corporate world with several major brands looking to establish a presence in the market. Social media giant Facebook has stated that NFTs will be part of its digital asset wallet service Novi.

Reports from China say Bytedance, the parent company of the popular social media platform TikTok might also be mulling an NFT foray. Bytedance founder Zhang Yiming reportedly stated the company’s planned NFT venture in a WeChat NFT group on Aug. 26.

NFTs, gamified investments and Web 3.0

With NFTs becoming the conduit for digital ownership, some commentators have begun to highlight the gamified investment potential of nonfungible tokens, especially within the context of the emerging decentralized web architecture. In some ways, NFTs are perhaps shaping up to embody the transformation brought on by e-commerce and social media in today’s cyberspace.

According to Ferris, “NFTs will be the backbone for the third wave of commerce, or virtual commerce.” From digital avatars to virtual and augmented reality (VR/AR), gaming and metaverses, NFTs are being tipped to permeate several layers of the evolving digital matrix.

This increased penetration also brings up discussions about possible interactions with major pillars of the digital world like e-commerce and social media. Indeed, some companies are already looking to develop infrastructure that will exist at the intersection of NFTs and social media, gaming and e-commerce among others.

Related: Ready Player Earn: Where NFT gaming and the virtual economy coincide

“NFTs are empowering real ownership of digital items that can often be used as utilities,” Johnson told Cointelegraph, adding:

“Businesses can utilize NFTs for many different uses, but the biggest of all is gaming. The ‘play-to-earn’ aspect of NFTs will be revolutionary in the coming years. Through this transitioning from static digital collectibles to tokens, real utility is created and will lead to the next generation of NFTs, especially as more companies and corporations get involved.”

Indeed, play-to-earn gaming has become a major component of the NFT space with titles like Axie Infinity commanding the attention of players across the globe. The growing popularity of play-to-earn NFT games is displaying the possibilities that may lie at the intersection of gaming, blockchain, and the virtual economy.

Speaking to Cointelegraph earlier in August, Jenny Q. Ta, founder of blockchain-based social media platform CoinLinked, remarked that NFTs could be the missing link in the quest to disintermediate the internet. According to Ta, NFTs will facilitate content ownership in Web 3.0, creating a whole new virtual economy.

Ta’s CoinLinked was recently acquired by NFT aggregator platform HODL Assets. Following the acquisition, HODL Assets is looking to launch its NFT marketplace service that will also combine e-commerce and social media features. 

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When does decentralization stop being an experiment in technological democracy and start being a way to avoid accountability?

That’s the question at the heart of a potential $100 million arbitration lawsuit against cryptocurrency exchange Binance, where close to 1,000 traders seek damages for losses suffered during the site’s outage on May 19. 

Binance experienced technical issues for several hours on May 19 amid one of the worst market crashes of the year as the global cryptocurrency market suffered a 33% drop. Traders were unable to execute trades for the duration of Binance’s outage, and many found their accounts depleted when the site came back online.

Binance’s click-through terms of use absolve it of any responsibility for losses incurred by new users upon registering with the exchange. The company has no official headquarters and isn’t registered or regulated in any jurisdiction.

Hundreds of users have added their names to the case since it was announced on Aug. 19, said David Kay of Liti Capital, who leads the steering and advisory committee directing the arbitration on behalf of the claimants.

Of the 700+ original claimants, only six claim damages of more than $20 million. But Kay believes the total amount lost by traders during May 19’s blackout could be more than $100 million. 

A cloak of decentralization?

Speaking to Cointelegraph, Kay said that Binance had self-applied the “decentralized” label to great effect during its time as the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, but only to further its aims. He said:

“Binance tries to cloak itself as a community asset, which it’s not. It’s a corporation utilizing community assets. […] It’s done a good job of blurring the lines, and wrapping itself in the idea of decentralization.”

Kay suggested that Binance used the notion of decentralization to carve dividing lines through the cryptocurrency community by fostering an “in-group/out-group” mentality, stating: “Binance will point to the fact it has no headquarters, the fact that it’s not regulated, and say: ‘If you’re against us, you’re against that [decentralization].’”

Binance founder and CEO Changpeng Zhao has eschewed the notion that the exchange requires an official headquarters, noting that Bitcoin (BTC) itself has no base of operations. Addressing an audience at Ethereal Summit 2020, Zhao said Binance’s office was wherever he and his team happened to operate from at the time:

“Where’s the Bitcoin office? Bitcoin doesn’t have an office. [...] Wherever I sit is going to be the Binance office. Wherever I need somebody is going to be the Binance office.”

Binance processes around $25 billion worth of cryptocurrency trades daily and has seen over $2 trillion move through its exchange to date. Its margin trading platform allows users to leverage trades to up to 125x their original holdings — a practice that has been banned by regulators in the United States and the United Kingdom.

In November 2020, Coinbase disabled margin trading on its professional trading platform following official guidance from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission. But Binance, along with numerous other unregulated cryptocurrency exchanges, continued to offer high-risk trading products.

The happy wanderer

Traders who suffered undue losses while using Binance’s systems have had few options to launch — let alone resolve — legal action against the company. As the exchange hopped from China, Japan and Malta over the past several years (settling nowhere), its customers had no recognized arena from which to base a legal case.

Binance has since added a stipulation to its terms and conditions stating it would agree to hear claims made against it in the Hong Kong International Arbitration Centre. The HKIAC is very expensive for individuals to launch small claims in, with each case incurring a $65,000 fee simply to begin proceedings. What’s more, claims can only be made on an individual basis, precluding the possibility of class-action lawsuits.

The prohibitive cost of using the arbitration court effectively prices most users out of ever making a claim against the exchange. One claimant, who wished to remain unnamed, lost over $10,000 the day Binance went down — an amount he’d be forced to pay many times over to use the Hong Kong court as an arbiter.

Other individuals lost funds ranging between $100 and $12 million on May 19, and on other dates before and since. Kate Marie, a healthcare consultant and author from Sydney, Australia, lost between $160,000 and $250,000 when she couldn’t access her futures trading account during the site outage. Marie said:

“I couldn't adequately manage my futures account and got liquidated rapidly, and without warning, my margin status had changed. Also happened again on the 23rd, even though I had safety measures in place. This was going to set me up for life.”

Retail trader Fawaz Ahmed of Toronto, Canada, lost out on 3,300 Ether (ETH) (worth around $6 million at the time) because the site’s user interface froze and stopped him from closing out his position. Ahmed described experiencing symptoms of serious depression following the crash.

No witch hunt

Kay stressed that the arbitration against Binance isn’t a witch hunt. He recognizes the utility that such a platform can bring to the cryptocurrency space but believes that a line has to be drawn in the sand.

“We are not anti-Binance. We are pro-Binance. Binance can still be good for the community. This is about the fact that we all make mistakes, but that ultimately, those mistakes have to be rectified. We don’t want to destroy Binance, but this needs to be cleaned up,” said Kay.

Liti Capital, the group Kay heads up, is front-running the cost of the arbitration and will be compensated with a share of the damages awarded should the proceedings be judged in the claimants’ favor. 

The claimants aim to question the enforceability of Binance’s click-through terms of use, which Kay said doesn’t constitute a negotiated contract. The group will also look to challenge the idea that claims can only be made individually in the Hong Kong IAC, but Kay said they are also prepared to fight each claim one by one if they have to.

“We won’t stop if we have to bring lawsuits on them individually,” he said.

User disagreement

Carol Goforth, a law professor at the University of Arkansas, said click-through terms of use are common in the world of e-commerce and could form part of a legally binding contract, assuming the terms are reasonable. Goforth told Cointelegraph:

“If the terms are reasonably conspicuous and you really do have to click through a link that warns you that you are agreeing to terms of the site, they can indeed become part of the contract.”

The user agreement could potentially be nullified, said Goforth, if the claimants show that the terms were unconscionable. This means they’d have to show the contract was unfair or abusive during its formation.

Binance had little to say about the prospect of the arbitration at the time of writing. A spokesperson told Cointelegraph, “We are committed to the legal process to resolve disputes and we do not comment on pending legal matters.” 

The exchange was the target of heavy regulatory and legal scrutiny during summer 2021, as authorities in the United States, the United Kingdom, France, India, Japan, the Cayman Islands and more sought to either ban its trading products or pursue the exchange and its subsidiaries for violating national law. Binance has since shut down some of its leveraged trading products and has ceased offering its services to customers in certain jurisdictions.

The claimants lending their weight to the arbitration say they are doing so for a wide number of reasons. For some, including Kay, it’s about removing the false cloak of decentralization that Binance has used to disguise itself for so long. 

“Imagine if Amazon said, ‘Sorry, our workers and customers can never sue us, because we’re part of the internet — and the internet is to stay deregulated,’” stated Kay. “That doesn’t work.” 

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Recently, the Ethereum network reached a new staking milestone. On Aug. 17, the Ethereum 2.0 staking contract became the single largest holder of Ether (ETH), surpassing Wrapped Ether (WETH). According to data from Etherscan, the Eth2 deposit contract now holds over 7.14 million Ether tokens, valued at $23 billion at the time of writing.

This accounts for nearly 6.1% of all Ether tokens in circulation, which means that the staking rate for Ethereum is now over 6%. The Wrapped Ether deposit contract comes in second, holding 6.97 million tokens — i.e., 5.94% of all Ether. Data from Beaconcha.in reveals that there are now 217,354 validators on the Ethereum network.

Right away, this has made Ether the third most staked cryptocurrency. According to data from Staking Rewards, the Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract ranks third, just after Cardano and Solana, which have been proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains since their inception. In contrast to the $23 billion in ETH staked, there is over $26 billion worth of SOL staked and $63 billion in ADA staked on their respective networks. 

Pete Humiston, manager of Kraken Intelligence — the research department of the Kraken exchange — told Cointelegraph about these different blockchains:

“Ether’s market cap is well over $350 billion: many multiples above both Solana and Cardano. SOL and ADA may well have a larger share staked compared to the 5.7% of ETH on ETH 2.0, but the sheer size of Ethereum means it is all but inevitable it will surpass both as ETH 2.0 continues apace.”

Ether staking only in nascent stage

Ether staking is already reaching milestones and is rising through the ranks, even though staking on the Ethereum network is still in its nascent stage. All the Ether currently deposited in the Eth2 deposit contract is locked and can be withdrawn only after the Beacon Chain merges into the main Ethereum network — the final stage of its transition to a PoS consensus mechanism. 

Rick Delaney, senior analyst at OKEx Insights — the research team at cryptocurrency exchange OKEx — spoke with Cointelegraph regarding whether the transition could end up being slowed down. He stated:

“A few factors are likely to slow uptake, including the requirement to lock capital on the Beacon Chain, centralized staking service risk, ETH’s more expansive DApp [decentralized application] ecosystem enabling additional opportunities to generate returns and the protocol risk accompanying any major network upgrade.”

This staking milestone for Ethereum comes on the heels of a major event in the transformation of the blockchain, the London hard fork. The London upgrade went live on the network on Aug. 5, bringing in the highly anticipated Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 1559, along with four other EIPs: EIP-3554, EIP-3541, EIP-3198 and EIP-3529.

EIP-1559 brought a change in the transaction pricing mechanism that eventually reduced the inflation rate of the token and decreased miners’ revenues from transaction fees. This upgrade is the penultimate step leading to the final merge of the Eth1 and Eth2 chains scheduled for 2022. 

Related: Ethereum’s London hard fork sets ETH on a more deflationary path

Humiston mentioned that the reduction in ETH’s inflation makes it a much more scarce asset than it would have been otherwise. The inflation schedule will change yet again once the final transformation to PoS takes place. He said:

“If the ETH burned offsets that issued under PoS, ETH will become a deflationary asset. Should demand stay at current levels, then we can assume that the price of ETH will likely rise, all else remaining constant.”

This price increase could lead to a positive feedback loop, as a higher price could give a push to innovation and development within the ecosystem, which would then lead to greater network usage and entail that even more ETH is burned under this EIP. In addition to the reduction in selling pressure on ETH over the short- to mid-term leading to higher ETH prices, there are other aspects that need to be considered.

Delaney pointed out that miners currently sell ETH to cover their electricity and hardware costs, but once the network is entirely secured by stakers, even the miners will be incentivized to hoard ETH. He said, “Meanwhile, network users’ ETH will disappear from circulation via 1559’s burn mechanism. While the resulting supply shock will likely send ETH to the proverbial moon, it may have a centralizing effect on the network’s validator structure and wealth concentration.”

CEO of on-chain analytics service CryptoQuant, Ki Young Ju, mentioned in a tweet that a sell-side “liquidity crisis” could push ETH past Bitcoin (BTC) in terms of price. Cointelegraph discussed this with Andrew Keys, founder of ConsenSys Capital and co-founder managing partner of Darma Capital, who acknowledged that while there will be a supply reduction, “to call it a ‘liquidity crisis’ might be overstating it.” He further stated:

“That reduction in the supply of the token, coupled with Ethereum’s greater scalability and its larger developer community should lead to the price of ETH eclipsing the price of BTC in the next 24 months.”

The flippening narrative

In the aftermath of the London upgrade, in addition to the increased interest witnessed in the Eth2 staking contract, the price of the token also has seen huge gains. In the past week, ETH has posted 10.58% gains and in the past month has posted 51.80% gains. This surpassed the 42% gains Bitcoin has over the last 30 days. 

This incremental difference in price appreciation has brought back the “flippening” narrative to the conscience of the cryptoverse. Nigel Green, CEO and founder of the deVere Group — one of the world’s largest independent financial consulting organizations — has stated that he expects ETH to continue to outperform BTC over the remainder of the year. He also mentioned that within the next five years, the value of Ether will exceed that of Bitcoin, adding, “Ethereum’s ascent to the top of the cryptoverse seems unstoppable.”

Coinbase’s second-quarter earnings release recently revealed that the volume of ETH traded on the platform has surpassed BTC for the first time in the nine years — since the inception of the platform. Even one of the most prominent cryptocurrency hardware wallets, Ledger, has announced the integration of an accessible staking option through Ledger Live, which could lead to higher retail levels of interest in staking on the network, thus feeding into the frenzy about Ethereum as a whole, a dynamic usually reserved for Bitcoin.

Delaney further spoke on the possibilities of a flippening event. He said, “Given their respective use cases today — BTC as a store of value and ETH being required to interact with smart contracts — it seems likely that ETH trading volume will eventually surpass BTC.” In addition to trading, DApp service consumers would need to purchase ETH to interact with them. This is a stark contrast, as most of the BTC supply still sits in cold storage. He added: 

“Efforts like the Lido integration with Ledger make staking Ethereum more attractive to those concerned about centralized staking service risks and fees, capital lockup requirements, technical barriers to entry and security. These factors, combined with the fact that users can stake less than the 32 ETH required to run an independent validating node, should see staking participation grow.”

The rise in total value locked (TVL) across decentralized finance (DeFi) apps and the nonfungible token (NFT) boom provide evidence of strong Ethereum usage. According to data from DappRadar, the TVL in DeFi spiked 19% from the pre-hard fork levels near $102 billion on Aug. 4 to currently standing at $122.6 billion. This usage could increase even more if the ongoing network transition successfully reduces the gas price and increases scalability as intended.

Related: Staking will eat proof-of-work for breakfast — Here’s why

Keys commented that Ethereum leads Bitcoin in every metric apart from market capitalization and trading volumes and that it’s only a matter of time before ETH surpasses BTC in those metrics too. He added, “The Ethereum ecosystem is the largest ecosystem supporting blockchain applications, with 95% of all blockchain-based applications built there.”

Whether ETH will flip BTC in the short term remains to be seen, but Ethereum 2.0 could trigger a renewed interest in the cryptocurrency industry as a whole, even from traditional financial markets. As revealed in a JPMorgan Chase report, Ethereum could take its staking yields to $20 billion by 2022 and to $40 billion by 2025. This is yet another encouraging sign that reinforces the sustained demand for Ethereum.

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Cardano blockchain’s native asset, ADA, reached a new record high on Monday as investors pinned hopes on an upcoming smart contracts feature that expects to boost the cryptocurrency’s adoption.

The ADA/USD exchange rate topped out at $2.899 around 9:00 am UTC, raising anticipations that it would easily close above $3 in the coming sessions.

Many analysts, including pseudonymous chartist PostyXBT, noted that the Cardano token had entered a “price discovery mode.” Meanwhile, David Gokhshtein hinted that ADA/USD might continue its bull run until Sep. 12, the day Cardano is going to integrate a smart contracts feature to its blockchain via the “Alonzo” upgrade.

$ADA is just a monster right now.

I’m trying to figure out it’s price before 9/12/2021.

— David Gokhshtein (@davidgokhshtein) August 23, 2021 \n\n

In detail, the Alonzo upgrade introduces a native smart contracts development language called Plutus to the Cardano ecosystem. Plutus is already available for testing and brings functional programming to smart contract creation to everyday users.

As a result, ADA bulls anticipate the token’s adoption to boom in the sessions ahead as Cardano attracts decentralized application developers — operating in the emerging decentralized finance and nonfungible token sectors — to its smart contracts ecosystem.

Overbought risks

But Cardano’s technical indicators predict a short-term shock, something that might have the ADA/USD corrected lower by as much as 40% despite maintaining its long-term bullish outlook.

The Cardano token’s daily relative strength index (RSI) has ventured deeper into overbought territory, at around 83. Traders consider an RSI reading above 70 as overvalued. As a result, it prompts them to sell the asset to secure maximum profits.

\\ ADA/USD daily chart featuring RSI correction fractal. Source: TradingView

For instance, a run-up in ADA/USD rates in the first quarter of 2021 pushed its RSI reading above 90. Later, the pair started consolidating sideways while maintaining support near its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the scarlet wave).

Related: Cardano defies Peter Brandt’s 90% crash warning, ADA price doubles to new high

ADA’s price now sits atop 114% month-to-date and 1,511% year-to-date profits. At the same time, an oversold RSI pictures an interim profit-taking scenario. So if the Q1/2021 fractal repeats, ADA’s next line of support comes to be near its 50-day EMA at $1.73, almost 40% below the current prices of $2.83. 

$ADA Alonzo fork is in less than 3 weeks. Allegedly 100+ launches coming

And a major Summit

My first targets are going to be above $3 for TP1

I don’t know how high this goes in price discovery so will just play it as we go. Exciting weeks ahead https://t.co/47tnpZS3Rw pic.twitter.com/0ZRUZrMcpy

— Pentoshi Wont DM You (@Pentosh1) August 19, 2021 \n\n

But a correction won’t necessarily exhaust Cardano’s long-term bullish outlook. Given the potential success of its Alonzo upgrade, the project could end up attracting more speculative upside bids for its ADA token. As a result, the ADA/USD exchange rate expects to remain in price discovery mode.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

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At the start of 2021, the cryptocurrency industry was bursting with news of increased institutional investment, and this is still largely true. Despite reports suggesting increased outflows from institutional investors, net inflows are still very much positive. Additionally, though Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be the investment of choice for liquidations, institutional investment into Ethereum (ETH) has never been healthier.

From Wall Street hedge funds to major banks, large-scale investors are hopping aboard the crypto train. Bitcoin's fall from its all-time high at $65,000 placed doubt in the minds of all cryptocurrency investors, though that could be changing as its price has since started to recover.

BTC accounts for over 44% of the total $2 trillion digital asset market capitalization, while Ethereum stands at around 18%. Back in May, the number of addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC fell to around 2,100 from the 2,500 mark seen in February, according to blockchain data analytics firm CoinMetrics. However, most indicators point to institutions increasing their overall holdings.

According to Nikita Ovchinnik, chief business development officer of the decentralized platform 1inch Network, “There is no doubt that institutional investors have a long-term bullish approach to crypto and Bitcoin specifically.” Long term, he also said that the key obstacle for institutions would lie in the technology itself.

“Due to its architecture, DLT works in a unique way that differs from the established IT and financial product infrastructure. It would certainly require some adjustments and updates in order to onboard more entities into crypto.” He added further:

“The number of institutional investors that have exposure to crypto has risen dramatically over the last year, and they didn't come for short-term gains.”

International investment banks and financial services companies like Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan have all set up Bitcoin-related services and funds over the last few months. After reaching a peak of $40 billion in April, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, one of the largest institutional investors in the space, reported that its total assets under management fell to $20 billion in July before climbing back to nearly $41 billion amid the recent rally.

With concerns of a regulatory crackdown on digital asset exchanges and service providers, as well as China's stance on Bitcoin trading and mining, there are enough reasons for traditional investors to be hesitant to enter the market. However, the recent pushback above the psychological mark of $40,000 could be a sign that the sentiment is recovering. The real question is, what will the institutions do next?

ETH and flow

One of the biggest reasons investors have flocked to Bitcoin over the last two years has been the rising inflation rate of the U.S. dollar. Amid the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, the United States Federal Reserve has printed trillions in the name of stimulus checks, pushing concerned investors to look for other places to park their capital.

In mid-August, Bitcoin reported its sixth consecutive week of institutional outflows, with over $22 million in liquidations in a single week. This marks the longest period of outflows for the digital asset since 2018. Still, the total assets under management for digital asset investment products rose 10% in the same week, though this was primarily due to price appreciation.

On the other hand, multi-asset products appear much less uncertain about their direction, with institutional investors increasing their holdings by $7.5 million and attracting nearly $12 million through inflows over the last month. In contrast, over the same period, Bitcoin funds have experienced almost $68 million in outflows.

All of this points to institutions diversifying their holdings into other digital assets besides Bitcoin, with altcoins like Ethereum, Cardano (ADA) and Binance Coin (BNB) also seeing increased inflows. While BTC outflows may be higher than ever, institutional investments into digital assets are higher this year than ever before.

“The undeniable pattern is that institutional interest and participation in the field continues to rise,” said Jack Tao, CEO of a Singapore-based cryptocurrency exchange Phemex in a conversation with Cointelegraph, adding: “This is despite the periods of high volatility that crypto veterans are used to but may be undesirable to traditional investors.”

He also stated that the DeFi space was still in its early phases of adoption and that while some technologies and applications are already in place, we're still only seeing the tip of the iceberg. “Smart institutional investors can sense the change coming and wish to position themselves squarely as beneficiaries for what's to come,” he said, adding: “The final use cases that blockchain will address hasn't even been imagined yet.”

Investing in digital assets as an institution is very different from retail purchases. Despite most crypto-positive institutions already trading on forex markets, they face risks that are very different from traditional systems. Finding differences in spot prices can become a costly ordeal, and since they end up trading with unknown counterparties, factors such as technological reliability and liquidity depth are far more critical than usual.

“There is still a long way to go,” Daniel Santos, CEO of Woonkly Labs’ automated market maker, defi.finance, told Cointelegraph: “[Institutions] don’t just need regulated products, but also easy-to-use products that are tailored specifically to their needs.” He added:

“Institutions are looking for products that enable them to invest in DeFi safely with peace of mind. I believe they’re taking a long-term approach, and they are bullish.”

“DeFi attracts a lot of attention,” said Yves Longchamp, head of research at SEBA Bank, a FINMA licensed digital assets bank. As Longchamp told Cointelegraph, institutional investors are focused on three main factors, including adding yield to their portfolios — a source of revenue that doesn’t exist in traditional finance.

Despite consistent Bitcoin outflows, institutions appear to be bullish as ever about the digital assets space. Recently, the global professional financial intermediary network, TP ICAP, announced that it would be launching a cryptocurrency trading platform along with industry giants Standard Chartered and Fidelity Investments.

Though it seems that big money is entering the industry with confidence, bringing their capital into the space, price appreciation could take a back seat as regulation becomes a more prominent concern for institutional investors.

Institutional intrigue

Cryptocurrency adoption is rising faster than ever before with previously less proactive markets seeing increased movement, while the more actively participating regions grapple with broader changes and regulatory issues.

According to director of financial markets at digital asset exchange OKEx Lennix Lai, the main concerns are around Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and tax evasion, as he told Cointelegraph: “We see regulatory acceptance as a key obstacle to the market as a whole, yet market size and integrity are also challenges.” According to Ovchinnik, since “the majority of protocols are completely permissionless, there is always a possibility of becoming a counterparty to some kind of criminal.”

However, he also added that these issues are being ironed out by development teams at the protocol level, taking pre-emptive measures to ensure their regulatory approval in the long run. This could become a significant factor for institutional investors entering the space, who are required to strictly adhere to regulations and the decisions of their governing political authorities.

According to chief operating officer at Huobi Trust Robert Whitaker, institutions are happy with Bitcoin and are starting to create market offerings around it. “Institutions are still aggregating a significant amount of BTC for their own needs and on the balance sheets,” he told Cointelegraph, adding: “This may easily drive the markets to sustain two to three trillion in valuation over the next year or so.”

Related: Bitcoin's race to $50K heats up as solid institutional backing continues

With net positive inflows into digital assets, the possibilities are endless for blockchain technology. The opportunities in this space are seemingly unending, and even the smallest ones can be immensely profitable. While Ocvhinnik believes institutions will focus more on cross-chain Layer-one solutions, Tao says there will be more focus on decentralizing traditional financial services and exploring more experimental aspects of the industry like NFTs and GameFi.

According to Rachid Ajaja, CEO of AllianceBlock, a decentralized capital market, decentralized finance, or DeFi, offerings are expanding into more traditional structured products like product wrapping and structured loans. “We are in a very exciting time,” he told Cointelegraph, adding: “The shift towards DeFi is happening right now.”

The biggest challenge will be finding a balance between the industry's ethos of decentralization and achieving the level of compliance governments seek. For now, while the two forces seem fundamentally opposed to each other, a more robust solution will likely arise soon, as more lawmakers and government leaders educate themselves about cryptocurrencies and the technology behind them.

“Regulation in digital assets is a net positive,” said CEO of Bitstamp exchange Julian Sawyer in a conversation with Cointelegraph, adding: “By separating good actors from the bad, building more trust with investors and holding companies responsible for their actions through clearer guidelines, regulatory interest means credibility and growth for the whole industry.”

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The second half of 2021 just started and there is already a rise in the number of unicorns emerging in the crypto world as years of resistance towards crypto from mainstream investors start to fade.

Since the year began, more than 50 cryptocurrency and blockchain-related projects have risen to the much-coveted unicorn status, with market analysts predicting more to come.

A unicorn is a company that has been valued at more than one billion dollars by venture capitalists. A few examples of unicorns in the mainstream include the likes of Airbnb, Uber and Elon Musk's Space X that have all managed to garner a valuation in the tens of billions.

In the crypto sphere, Coinbase, the giant United States-based crypto exchange, is a keen example of how fast companies in the crypto industry can rise to prominent status. 

With the likes of Amber Group, Blockchain.com and OpenSea coming to the fore to join the exclusive club of companies valued at over $1 billion, analysts predict that the list will continue to grow as mainstream adoption of crypto and blockchain increases.

BlockFi

Kicking off the list is BlockFi. This New Jersey-based financial services company for crypto users managed to close its Series D funding round at a whopping $350 million in March this year, setting its value at $3 billion.

Founded by Zac Prince and Flori Marquez in 2017, BlockFi has had an impressive round in terms of funding, considering the company only managed to raise $50 million in its Series C funding round last year.

BlockFi offers a variety of products to retail crypto investors including a crypto exchange and an interest-bearing account, as well as crypto loans issued at low interests. The startup boasts of being one of the few crypto exchanges that feature zero commissions and transaction fees.

With these perks, BlockFi has seen its user base grow from about 10,000 at the end of 2019 to more than 250,000 retail clients and 200 institutional investors and counting. Considering its latest funding round, BlockFi’s raised equity now stands at about $450 million since its inception.

Related: Texas alleges that BlockFi is offering unregistered securities

Bitpanda

Next up is Bitpanda. Formerly known as Coinmal, this Austria-based startup and crypto brokerage service hit a $1.2 billion valuation after a Series B funding that saw the start-up raise $170 million.

The funding series was led by Valar Ventures, a New York-based venture capital firm that was founded in 2010 and features support from partners such as DST Global. Valar Ventures has been increasingly dipping its toes in crypto startups and is also an investor in trading app Robinhood.

Riding on the growing popularity and acceptance of crypto, not to mention the crypto bull market that often increases the revenue of crypto market-infrastructure providers, Bitpanda's latest round is a step forward from its Series A round nine months ago, when the startup raised $52 million.

According to Bitpanda CEO Eric Demuth, the company has been profitable for the past four years of its existence, thus highlighting to investors a notable ambition for the company's aim at becoming Europe's leading cryptocurrency payment and exchange platform.

“We are profitable, and we have been for four years, but in September we changed strategy and wanted to become ‘the’ investment platform for all Europe,” Demuth said.

The Bitpanda CEO also noted that the company is looking for more partners to access more capital and top talent. In terms of quality of services, Bitpanda is considered to be a reputable and fast service, not to mention a cheap alternative for crypto traders and investors.

Fireblocks

The first quarter of 2021 also saw crypto and blockchain infrastructure provider Fireblocks raise $133 million in its Series C funding round.

The startup, which helps companies by removing the complexities of working with digital assets, has gone further and added $310 million after its Series D round on July 27th.

Fireblocks' most recent fundraising has catapulted the company's valuation to $2.2 billion in just five months. Considering its latest financing, the New York-based startup has managed to raise a total of $489 million since its inception.

Fireblocks has seen its user base grow since the start of the year from about 150 to 500 clients. In addition, the company’s annual recurring revenue has also increased by more than 300% in the last two quarters of 2021.

The firm's CEO and co-founder Michael Shaulov said that they “expect to end the year up 500%.”

Considering the company’s annual recurring revenue in 2020 saw an increase of 450% compared to 2019, 2021 has seen a valuation boost for the company.

“We’ve already adjusted our revenue prediction for 2021 three times,” adds Shaulov in regards to the boosted valuation.

Related: Fireblocks faces lawsuit over deleted keys to $72M Ether wallet

Bakkt

After going public via a merger with VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings in January 2021, Bakkt's valuation was set at $2.1 billion.

The Bitcoin futures exchange backed by Boston Consulting Group and Microsoft received $207 million in cash and an additional $325 million from other investors, not to mention $50 million from Intercontinental Exchange.

The money raised by Bakkt is expected to finance the company’s move toward a focus on consumer applications for digital assets. According to reports, more than 400,000 customers had pre-registered for the Bakkt app as the platform supports more than 30 loyalty programs.

The company offers crypto trading and payments features with a fully regulated Bitcoin derivatives futures and options market.

CoinDCX

Recently, Indian crypto exchange CoinDCX announced that it has raised $90 million in a Series C funding round.

The Mumbai-based startup will go down in history as India's first crypto business to reach unicorn status following the investment round that was led by B Capital Ground as well as the participation of Block.one, Polychain, Jump Capital and Coinbase Ventures.

So far, CoinDCX has gathered more than 3.5 million users with intentions of using the funds from its latest fundraising to speed up the user onboarding process up to 50 million users in India.

In an announcement, CoinDCX CEO Sumit Gupta said that the firm “will be joining hands or enter into partnerships with key fintech players to expand the crypto investor base, set up a Research and Development (RD) facility, strengthening the policy conversations through public discourse, working with the government to introduce favorable regulations, education, and amping up hiring initiatives.”

This move by CoinDCX comes at a time of great regulatory uncertainty from the Indian government in regard to it stance on cryptocurrencies. While regulatory framework proposals have been submitted by various market players, the Indian government has long condemned the use of crypto.

Related: CoinDCX To Allocate $1.3 Million to Indian Crypto Education

Blockchain.com

Formerly known as Blockchain.info, Blockchain.com is a widely popular crypto wallet and exchange that has grown significantly since its early inception back in 2011.

Boasting over $800 billion in crypto transactions to date, Blockchain.com raised $120 million in a funding round, bringing the platform’s value over $1 billion.

Blockchain.com started as a blockchain explorer that allows access to Bitcoin's (BTC) blockchains and all its transactional data, ranging from fees to the number of confirmations for each transaction, as well as wallet addresses.

The platform currently serves over 30 million active users and has since seen its user base triple over the past year. Blockchain.com has developed support for the exploration and exchange of other blockchain-based cryptocurrencies besides Bitcoin.

Soon after raising $120 million, Blockchain.com proceeded to raise another $300 million in March, setting its value at a whopping $5.2 billion. This was part of the company's Series C round that saw the participation of venture capital firms such as DST Global, VY Capital and Lightspeed Venture Partners.

Institutional capital ready to dip toes in crypto

With every bust and boom cycle of Bitcoin, the crypto market will continue to grow as market experts predict that the unicorn herd is set to expand even further in 2021.

Early birds and first movers in the crypto space are starting to reap their fortunes after years of toil through the many phases of crypto volatility.

As more firms continue to reach unicorn status, evidence of the crypto market moving slowly but surely into maturity has become evident. There is a clear increase in the flow of institutional capital into the crypto space and with that, it is only a matter of time before crypto goes mainstream.

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The crypto market has been surging recently and there’s one cryptocurrency — Bitcoin (BTC) — leading the way. After having suffered through volatility for the better part of the last 60-some days, the flagship crypto has showcased a high level of recovery, even breaking past its 200-day moving average earlier this month, suggesting that a move to the $50,000 psychological barrier may be in the cards soon.

To really put things into perspective, over the last month alone, BTC has registered gains of more than 55%, helping to take the total market capitalization of this relatively nascent space back beyond the $2 trillion threshold. These startling figures can, in large part, be attributed to increased institutional adoption that has been witnessed in relation to this industry in the recent past. 

In this regard, some of Bitcoin’s most significant institutional backers include Michael Saylor-led Microstrategy, EV manufacturer Tesla and crypto-focused investment firms Galaxy Digital Holdings and Voyager Digital. Additionally, even a number of traditional banking institutions have entered the crypto fray recently. Wells Fargo, one of the oldest banks in the United States, is the newest member of a list of growing financial institutions to offer its wealthy clients indirect exposure to Bitcoin.

Other prominent financial institutions that also offer a range of crypto-focused financial offerings include JPMorgan, BNY Mellon, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, among many others.

Lastly, according to recent filings made with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a growing list of wealth management companies — such as Illinois-based Clear Perspective Advisors and Ohio-situated Ancora Advisors — have been acquiring sizable sums of Grayscale's Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) shares, signaling a growing demand for the asset among institutional players.

What to expect?

Providing his take on when he sees Bitcoin scaling up to the $50,000 mark, Iqbal Gandham, VP of Transactions for security and infrastructure solutions provider Ledger, told Cointelegraph that when crossing significant price milestones, there is always a pause — much like the one we are witnessing now — so that the market can stabilize:

“The longer we hold it here the more support it will gather. As for factors that will drive this run, I really feel it's more psychological rather than news-driven. People are just waiting for a trend, so any slightly positive news could cause the price to move dramatically. It's not a matter of if anymore, just a when.”

Daniele Bernardi, CEO of fintech management company Diaman Group, told Cointelegraph that his company’s proprietary indicators are all extremely positive regarding BTC’s near-term growth. In his personal view, however, the next wave of bullish market growth will not purely be driven by Bitcoin, but rather by alt-assets such as Ether (ETH), Cordano (ADA) and Binance Coin (BNB). 

“My point of view is that it is actually more important to focus on altcoins for a while. We can expect a reduction of Bitcoin dominance for some months,” he said.

Lastly, according to Talal Tabbaa, chairman and co-founder of CoinMENA — an FTX-backed Middle East-based cryptocurrency exchange — even though Bitcoin could be trading at $50,000 in the coming few days, such short-term price action is quite irrelevant when looking at the grand scheme of things:

“Technical analysis has limitations and shouldn’t be solely used for decision making. I actually think it crazy that some people think they can draw lines on a chart and predict the future. Macro events like China banning mining or the US hopefully approving ETFs will have much bigger impacts on Bitcoin’s short term movements than any technical analysis.”

Bitcoin “gold cross” spotted suggesting solid near-term price action

Despite there being some uncertainty over the last few months in terms of where the crypto sector may be headed, there is enough evidence to suggest that the market may be primed for another bull run in the near term. In this regard, blockchain analytics platform Glassnode recently reported that a “golden cross” formation — between the 30-day and 60-day moving averages of Bitcoin’s hash ribbon — has been recently observed.

A golden cross is observed when the short-term average value of an asset rises above that of its average value in the long term. As can be seen from the chart above, the comparison between BTC’s 30- and 60-day hash ribbons indicates that trading volumes are on the rise once again. It is also important to highlight that the same formation was spotted before Bitcoin rallied back in January 2019 and 2020, and in March 2020 and December 2020.

Lastly, Glassnode’s reported hash rate suggests that miners who may have been forced to move their operations from China — following the country’s recent regulatory tightening — may have finally established their bases elsewhere. In this vein, it should be noted that just over a fortnight or so ago, five North American mining operators — including Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain, Bitfarm, Argo Blockchain and Hut8 — reported witnessing a 58% increase in their operational output.

Other factors affecting BTC’s price action

Recently, Elon Musk made a U-turn in his outlook regarding Bitcoin, after having slighted the premier crypto earlier this year regarding its adverse environmental impact, thus giving investors — who follow the Dogefather’s every word — more fuel to become bullish on Bitcoin. Not only that, Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey and Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood recently confirmed their long-term investment in the premier crypto.

On BTC’s increasing adoption, a spokesperson for cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp told Cointelegraph that the number of active retail female investors has grown more than 24% in the last six months:

“The share of the trading volume generated by female investors at Bitstamp has increased by an astonishing 58% in that same time, pointing to a surge of new investors interested in cryptocurrencies.”

Lastly, with a growing list of countries — most prominently El Salvador — starting to adopt varied measures to recognize and regulate the crypto market, it will be interesting to see how the coming few days play out for Bitcoin, especially with the prevailing market sentiment that seems to be overwhelmingly positive at the moment. 

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b",open:1.309,openFormatted:"1.31",high:1.338,highFormatted:sa,low:1.222,lowFormatted:pr,volume24hour:490393816.52190477,volume24hourFormatted:"490.39 m",coinTradeVol:dT,coinTradeVolFormatted:dU,supply:dV,supplyFormatted:dW},{id:$,name:bT,label:bU,url:bV,value:li,valueAltDesktop:li,valueAltMobile:li,changePercentage:"-0.46%",changeForWeek:3.59,changeForWeekFormatted:rZ,changeForMonth:-1.41,changeForMonthFormatted:"-1.41%",isUp:a,isDown:b,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:177666126471.99384,mktcapFormatted:"177.67 b",open:lj,openFormatted:lk,high:lj,highFormatted:lk,low:lj,lowFormatted:lk,volume24hour:20991510233.778553,volume24hourFormatted:sA,coinTradeVol:dX,coinTradeVolFormatted:av,supply:dY,supplyFormatted:dZ},{id:bW,name:bX,label:bY,url:bZ,value:ft,valueAltDesktop:ft,valueAltMobile:ft,changePercentage:qK,changeForWeek:7.74,changeForWeekFormatted:pP,changeForMonth:27.82,changeForMonthFormatted:"+27.82%",isUp:b,isDown:a,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:26665527161.846764,mktcapFormatted:"26.67 b",open:1.055,openFormatted:ft,high:1.078,highFormatted:qf,low:.9998,lowFormatted:au,volume24hour:298783936.17626715,volume24hourFormatted:"298.78 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m",coinTradeVol:eg,coinTradeVolFormatted:eh,supply:ei,supplyFormatted:ej}]},currencies:[{id:o_,name:j,sign:o$,value:ge},{id:pa,name:l,sign:pb,value:gj},{id:pc,name:m,sign:pd,value:gr},{id:pe,name:n,sign:gd,value:gu},{id:pf,name:o,sign:pg,value:gw},{id:ph,name:p,sign:pi,value:gz},{id:pj,name:q,sign:pk,value:gC},{id:pl,name:pm,sign:pn,value:gG},{id:po,name:x,sign:gd,value:gJ}],graphs:{}},types:{},user:{isAuthed:a,isAuthedBySocials:a,token:h,id:h,firstName:c,lastName:c,userName:c,avatar:c,email:c,description:c,userGaId:c,ipAddress:"163.172.160.168",analyticsData:[],sessionId:c},vendors:{isVendorsModalShown:a,info:{},localI18n:{}},viewport:{isWindowActive:b,viewportWidth:f,viewportHeight:f,scrollTop:f,scrollIsLocked:a,breakpoint:"XS",isOverlayVisible:a,userDeviceType:{apple:{phone:a,ipod:a,tablet:a,device:a},amazon:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},android:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},windows:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},other:{blackberry:a,blackberry10:a,opera:a,firefox:a,chrome:a,safari:a,device:a},any:a,phone:a,tablet:a},bottomZoneHeight:f}},serverRendered:b,routePath:gK}}(false,true,"",void 0,2,0,"_self",null,1,"USD","default","EUR","GBP","JPY","RUR","KRW","TRY",3,4,"Language","en","es",8,"CNY","1","2",2021,"Analysis","EOS","NEO","changelly-button","18.83 m","4","https://hitbtc.com/?ref_id=5cba0be404aa3","11","xxs","xs","sm","md","lg","9","7",5,9,7,"Bitcoin","adbutler","23","https://changelly.com?utm_source=cointelegraphutm_medium=referralutm_campaign=changellyctengbuttonref_id=le9ssi8dgmskmqu0","hitbtc-button","promo_button",6,10,"27",48,79,138,"article","/category/analysis","cointelegraph.com","es.cointelegraph.com","Ethereum","Cardano","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=7376af3992","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=aad9f6b505","21","17","22","26","/bitcoin-cash-price-index","/ltc-price-index","/xrp-price-index","/xmr-price-index","_blank","1.00","3.25 b","analysis","en.LanguageType.1","en.LanguageType.2",47,"it",50,51,"BTC","/bitcoin-price","ETH","/ethereum-price","3","LTC","Litecoin","XRP","Ripple","6","BCH","Bitcoin Cash","XMR","Monero","8","DASH","Dash","/dash-price-index","/eos-price-index","ZEC","Zcash","/zec-price-index","12","ADA","/ada-price-index","13","/neo-price-index","14","TRX","TRON","/tron-price-index","15","BNB","Binance Coin","/binance-coin-price-index","16","XLM","Stellar","/stellar-price-index","USDT","Tether","/tether-price-index","18","MIOTA","IOTA","/iota-price-index","19","ONT","Ontology","/ontology-price-index","20","MKR","Maker","/maker-price-index","BSV","Bitcoin SV","/bsv-price-index","DOGE","Dogecoin","/doge-price-index","ETC","Ethereum Classic","/etc-price-index","24","XTZ","Tezos","/xtz-price-index","XEM","NEM","/nem-price-index","USDC","USD Coin","/usdc-price-index","28","CRO","Crypto.com Coin","/crypto-com-price-index","29","ATOM","Cosmos","/cosmos-price-index","30","LEO","UNUS SED LEO","/leo-price-index","1.03 b","33.05 b","2.78 b","5.19",13,"info",11,"Y2hhbmdlbGx5LWJ1dHRvbg==","Changelly",95,790284.94,"790.28 k",18803893,"18.80 m",8080650.45,"8.08 m",117352431.1865,"117.35 m",15099066.79,"15.10 m",66752614.51538747,"66.75 m",4124783951.03,"4.12 b",99990287008,"99.99 b",4804431.36,"4.80 m",18834287.5,810423.24,"810.42 k",17984866.28042054,"17.98 m",1410615.15,"1.41 m",10312220.5746646,"10.31 m",361080524.81,"361.08 m",1033089541.7195,1464257.81,"1.46 m",12558987.5,"12.56 m",1971387066.04,"1.97 b",33050654414.217,9653399.85,"9.65 m",100000000,"100.00 m",14909794251.04,"14.91 b",100850743811.662,"100.85 b",5313294.1,"5.31 m",168137036,"168.14 m",2109709505.37,"2.11 b",50001802844.44143,"50.00 b",85473730911.4,"85.47 b",67357085235.95035,"67.36 b",236807832.21,"236.81 m",2779530283,118427341.63,"118.43 m",1000000000,"1.00 b",47867.16,"47.87 k",991328.38195493,"991.33 k",1818272.64,"1.82 m",18831051.64423905,8965506292.02,"8.97 b",131114847996.93857,"131.11 b",86306145.29,"86.31 m",210700000,"210.70 m",51442903.79,"51.44 m",887632877.651198,"887.63 m",380644643.35,"380.64 m",8999999999,"9.00 b",3248584064.63,27495084481.929188,"27.50 b",283068946.09,"283.07 m",30263013692,"30.26 b",44899094.21,"44.90 m",278488897.355955,"278.49 m",1079840.58,"1.08 m",985239504,"985.24 m","0.84","0.14","71397",12,"Note that all trading strategies are to be used at your own risk. Before trading, we recommend to make sure that you have a clear understanding of cryptocurrencies and how they are traded.","side","youtube","0.73","Market Analysis",22,"Large devices"," 1200px","Medium devices"," 992px","Small tablets"," 768px","Smartphones"," 480px","Extra small devices","