Bitcoin futures open interest at 3-month highs — But will it be enough to overcome $50K?

by Donna Ryder

The indicators, coupled with a strong bid momentum versus the offers, suggest that Bitcoin’s price could push above $50,000 in the coming sessions.

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Bitcoin futures open interest at 3-month highs — But will it be enough to overcome $50K?

Bitcoin (BTC) futures open interest has recovered to May levels, raising optimism about a potent bullish breakout move above $50,000.

The total number of outstanding futures contracts on the Deribit exchange reached $1.37 billion on Monday, its highest level since May 27. Meanwhile, the difference between the Bitcoin spot rate and its futures contract price widened, edging up its three-month basis (annualized) back to June levels, data provided by Stack Funds shows.

Bitcoin futures OI and 3-month basis. Source: Stack Funds

The investment management firm saw the recovery as a sign of investors reentering the Bitcoin market while adopting a “more risk-on approach.” According to its head of research, Lennard Neo, the “contango trading” of the Bitcoin futures reflected that “investors’ sentiments remain skewed towards bullishness.” He wrote in a report:

“More importantly, we have observed consistent strength in bid momentum versus the offers, leading us to believe that markets will be well-supported at least in the near term, with further consolidation before breaking $50,000.”

Retail’s influence on Bitcoin’s price

In June, Bitcoin futures collapsed under the weight of a brutal sell-off in the world’s largest cryptocurrency spot market. The downside move from $41,322 to $28,800 expunged the basis trade, wherein a trader buys Bitcoin in the spot market and sells long-dated futures to lock in the disparity between the two prices.

So it appeared, leveraged futures traders unwound their long positions to meet margin calls — that is, via automatic liquidation mechanisms on exchanges. That reduced the gap between the Bitcoin futures prices and the spot, raising fears of negative premium on futures contracts, also called backwardation.

On Deribit, the three-month basis (annualized) was around 2.5%. But in ideal “contango” circumstances, futures should trade at a 5%–15% annualized premium according to the stablecoin lending rate.

Cointelegraph reported that the June drop had less to do with long liquidation and more with miners’ capitulation. It cited China’s crackdown on regional crypto firms around the same time Bitcoin prices plunged, noting that the decision forced crypto miners to shut down operations abruptly and, in turn, sell their Bitcoin holdings en masse to cover losses.

Bitcoin spot rates fell over 30% in just seven days in June 2021. Source: TradingView

$50,000 a psychological barrier

Entering August, Bitcoin has brushed aside most mining concerns, with a recent Glassnode report indicating that miners have started reaccumulating tokens. Meanwhile, persistently high inflation reports in the United States have also boosted Bitcoin’s safe-haven narrative among accredited investors.

Related: Bitcoin set to replace gold, says Bloomberg strategist on Bretton Woods’ 50th anniversary

That partially explains why Bitcoin bottomed out near $29,000 and rose back to $50,000 in over a month. It also underscores the spike in futures open interest and basis trading, signaling renewed buying interest among investors and traders alike. 

But Neo saw a potential glitch. The researcher highlighted Bitcoin’s recent failure to close above its psychological resistance at $50,000, noting that it could put the brakes on its imminent rally. He added:

“The fact that the 3-month basis has not broke June levels and is still way off Apr levels suggests that real demand and speculation remain conservative.”

Bitcoin was trading at $46,888, about 7.78% below its sessional high of $50,505, at the time of writing.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Whenever there's data out on futures contracts liquidation, many novice investors and analysts instinctively conclude that it's degenerate gamblers using high leverage or other risky instruments. There's no doubt that some derivatives exchanges are known for incentivizing retail trading to use excessive leverage, but that does not account for the entire derivatives market.

Recently, concerned investors like Nithin Kamath, the founder and CEO at Zerodha, questioned how derivatives exchanges could handle extreme volatility while offering 100x leverage.

When a platform offers leverage or funds the customer to buy for more than the money in the account, the platform takes a credit risk. With Crypto exchanges offering 10 to 100x leverage (futures), on days like today, I wonder who monitors liquidity position of these platforms 1/2

— Nithin Kamath (@Nithin0dha) May 19, 2021 \n\n

On June 16, journalist Colin Wu tweeted that Huobi had temporarily dropped the maximum trading leverage to 5x for new users. By the end of the month, the exchange had banned China-based users from trading derivatives on the platform.

After some regulatory pressure and possible complaints from the community, Binance futures limited new users' leverage trading at 20x on July 19. A week later, FTX followed the decision citing \"efforts to encourage responsible trading.\"

FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried asserted that the average open leverage position was roughly 2x, and only \"a tiny fraction of activity on the platform\" would be impacted. It's unknown whether these decisions have been coordinated or even mandated by some regulator.

Cointelegraph previously showed how a cryptocurrencies' typical 5% volatility causes 20x or higher leverage positions to be liquidated regularly. Thus, here are three strategies often used by professional traders are often more conservative and assertive.

Margin traders keep most of their coins on hard wallets

Most investors understand the benefit of maintaining the highest possible share of coins on a cold wallet because preventing internet access to tokens vastly diminishes the risk of hacks. The downside, of course, is that this position might not reach the exchange on time, especially when networks are congested.

For this reason, futures contracts are the preferred instruments traders use when they want to decrease their position during volatile markets. For example, by depositing a small margin like 5% of their holdings, an investor can leverage it by 10x and greatly reduce their net exposure.

These traders could then sell their positions on spot exchanges later after their transaction arrives and simultaneously close the short position. The opposite should be done for those looking to suddenly increase their exposure using futures contracts. The derivatives position would be closed when the money (or stablecoins) arrives at the spot exchange.

Forcing cascading liquidations

Whales know that during volatile markets, the liquidity tends to be reduced. As a result, some will intentionally open highly leveraged positions, expecting them to be forcefully terminated due to insufficient margins.

While they are 'apparently' losing money on the trade, they actually intended to force cascading liquidations to pressure the market in their preferred direction. Of course, a trader needs a large amount of capital and potentially multiple accounts to execute such a feat.

Leverage traders profit from the 'funding rate'

Perpetual contracts, also known as inverse swaps, have an embedded rate usually charged every eight hours. Funding rates ensure that there are no exchange risk imbalances. Even though both buyers' and sellers' open interest is matched at all times, the actual leverage used can vary.

When buyers (longs) are the ones demanding more leverage, the funding rate goes positive. Therefore, those buyers will be the ones paying up the fees.

Market makers and arbitrage desks will constantly monitor these rates and eventually open a leverage position to collect such fees. While it sounds easy to execute, these traders will need to hedge their positions by buying (or selling) in the spot market.

Using derivatives requires knowledge, experience, and preferably a sizable war chest to withstand periods of volatility. However, as shown above, it is possible to use leverage without being a reckless trader.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Momentum for the top layer-one protocols has been on the rise throughout August as the highly anticipated rollout of the London hard fork on the Ethereum (ETH) network has done little to address the network's high transaction fees and delayed confirmations. 

One of the biggest beneficiaries of the quest to find a more welcoming smart contract environment has been Cosmos (ATOM), a project focused on interoperability that has set out to become the “internet of blockchains” thanks to its Inter-Blockchain Communication (IBC) protocol.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the price of ATOM rallied 180% from a low of $8.87 on July 20 to a high of $24.77 on Aug. 22 as its 24-hour trading volume surged from an average of $250 million to $1.87 billion.

ATOM/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Three reasons for the strong showing from ATOM over the past month include the release of decentralized finance protocols on the network, the launch of a sidechain that enables the exchange of assets between Cosmos and Ethereum and the announcement of plans to bring Bitcoin (BTC) to the Cosmos ecosystem.

Expanding DeFi capabilities

Decentralized finance (DeFi) has been one of the biggest developments to emerge from the blockchain ecosystem over the past couple of years and is set to revolutionize the traditional financial sector.

The recent launch of the first functioning user interface for DeFi on Cosmos, known as Emeris, has been one of the biggest movers of ATOM price of late because the introduction of cross-chain exchange capabilities excited members of the Cosmos community and led to a spike in demand for the token.

— Cosmos - Internet of Blockchains ⚛️ (@cosmos) August 18, 2021 \n\n

Through the new interface, users can access a number of cross-chain DeFi protocols on the Cosmos network and trade assets on blockchains like IRISnet (IRIS), Persistence (XPRT) and the Akash Network (AKT).

Ethereum bridge opens up opportunitie

A second reason for the ATOM rally is the integration of Sifchain with the IBC, which made the project the first decentralized exchange to enable trades between the Cosmos ecosystem and the Ethereum network.

— Cosmos - Internet of Blockchains ⚛️ (@cosmos) August 27, 2021 \n\n

Ethereum currently hosts most of the top smart-contract protocols for DeFi and NFTs and this integration allows users of both ecosystems to easily trade assets between the two networks.

Wrapped Bitcoin comes to Cosmos

A third reason for the current bullish momentum comes from an Aug. 23 announcement that the Interchain Foundation (IFC), an organization that funds development grants in the Cosmos ecosystem, had granted funding to the Interlay development fund for bringing Bitcoin to the Cosmos network.

Bitcoin #BTC is coming to #Cosmos! @inter_btc is building an #IBC bridge to enable any IBC compatible chain to access trustless Bitcoin. This exciting step will help Cosmos grow the #DeFi sector improve inter-blockchain collaboration. Read more:https://t.co/wonb7l0q8W pic.twitter.com/REDoB2Pb4n

— Cosmos - Internet of Blockchains ⚛️ (@cosmos) August 23, 2021 \n\n

Bitcoin is the undeniable leader of the crypto market and it holds a vast majority of the accumulated wealth of the ecosystem, so the ability to operate on Cosmos has the potential to bring new users to the network.

Interlay utilizes a lock-up and vault technology that lets users secure their Bitcoin and mint fully collateralized interBTC that can be used in many DeFi projects and the feature is already available as a Polkadot parachain.

This integration will allow BTC to be used in the Cosmos DeFi ecosystem and it will bring deep liquidity and an increase in utility to the network.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71756.eb9e95db-a097-4c11-8a2f-6b828478f560.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:10341,shares:eF,tags:[{id:D,slug:et,title:K,url:co},{id:fc,slug:fx,title:fy,url:fz},{id:ev,slug:cp,title:eE,url:cq},{id:f$,slug:fA,title:U,url:fd},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:"6752",slug:mw,title:ap,url:"/tags/cosmos"},{id:"8428",slug:"decentralized-exchange",title:"Decentralized Exchange",url:"/tags/decentralized-exchange"},{id:mx,slug:my,title:mz,url:mA},{id:"9453",slug:"bitcoin-utility",title:"bitcoin utility",url:"/tags/bitcoin-utility"},{id:gb,slug:gc,title:ew,url:gd}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71756regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:eu,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"bitcoin-in-line-for-phenomenal-weekly-close-if-btc-price-holds-49k",url:hh,absoluteUrl:mB,title:f_,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:hi,datePublished:fB,dateHuman:hz,humanDateTime:"2021-08-28 10:12",dateISOFull:"2021-08-28T09:12:14+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:fe,hour:aE,minute:aF,second:ff,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:ge,authorUrl:gf,authorAvatar:hA,previewText:"The final hurdle for Bitcoin bulls this week could still cancel out recent losses if downward BTC pressure stays away.",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin now needs to nail a $49,300 weekly close to seal its march upward. ",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:fs,fullText:"

Bitcoin (BTC) held $49,000 on Aug. 28 after the United States Federal Reserve sparked a run-up toward critical resistance.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

All eyes on $49,300 on the weekly chart

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD cooling at higher levels after cracking the $49,000 mark late Friday.

The end of the working week had seen a positive reaction to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on tapering of asset purchases, as well as remarks on inflation.

As Cointelegraph reported, stocks surged to all-time highs, while the U.S. dollar weakened — Bitcoin made use of the opportunity and added $1,500 in under an hour.

With talk of a new \"bullish impulse\" move afoot on crypto markets, the mood into the weekend was thus far from bearish.

\"If BTC is able to stay above the ~$49000 level for the rest of the week... It would set itself up for a phenomenal Weekly Close,\" trader and analyst Rekt Capital summarized.

That weekly close had a solid chance of beating the last at the time of writing, with $49,300 the level to clinch for a multi-month high.

That would also place Bitcoin back in the tiny two-month window in which it closed above $49,000 on the weekly chart earlier this year.

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

\"Should be pretty obvious where Bitcoin is heading,\" popular Twitter account Ryan Cantering Clark added.

A look at buy and sell levels on major exchange Binance on the day meanwhile revealed a support line slowly building at around $48,800, forming a close stand-off with sellers just below $50,000.

BTC/USD buy and sell levels (Binance) as of Aug. 28. Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

Cardano bulls back in action as altcoins wake up

Altcoins meanwhile mostly benefited from renewed strength in Bitcoin.

Related: Price analysis 8/27: BTC, ETH, ADA, BNB, XRP, DOGE, DOT, SOL, UNI, LUNA

With the exception of a flat Binance Coin (BNB), the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap saw solid 24-hour gains.

Cardano (ADA) bulls led the advance, ADA/USD climbing almost 10% to $2.85 and making up for much of its recently lost ground after hitting all-time highs. Solana (SOL) continued upwards after its own record high.

ADA/USD 1-day candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingView

Ether (ETH) was at $3,240, having increased by a more modest 4% and still down 1.5% versus the same time last week.

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71743.2ad31232-0c10-4d0f-b338-2f3f7ceabcfa.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:22883,shares:eF,tags:[{id:D,slug:et,title:K,url:co},{id:ev,slug:cp,title:eE,url:cq},{id:fo,slug:fp,title:fq,url:fr},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:fV,slug:fW,title:fs,url:fX},{id:"9509",slug:"ether-price",title:"Ether Price",url:"/tags/ether-price"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71743regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:fw,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"3-reasons-why-tezos-xtz-price-has-gained-85-this-month",url:lW,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/3-reasons-why-tezos-xtz-price-has-gained-85-this-month",title:hj,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:lX,datePublished:fB,dateHuman:hz,humanDateTime:"2021-08-28 01:00",dateISOFull:"2021-08-28T00:00:00+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:fe,hour:f,minute:f,second:f,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:hw,authorUrl:hx,authorAvatar:hy,previewText:"Major protocol improvements, attractive staking rewards and real-world adoption from banks back the current bullish price action seen in XTZ.",twitterLeadText:"$XTZ price continues to push higher following a major network upgrade, new staking incentives and the adoption of the Tezos blockchain by several large banking institutions.",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:ew,fullText:"

The Ethereum (ETH) network is currently the dominant layer-one protocol in terms of smart contract deployment and active users, but the race to become the 'world’s computer' is far from settled because competing protocols are gaining traction by offering solutions to high transaction costs and slow confirmation times, the biggest problems facing the network.

One project that has been on the rise over the past month is Tezos, a proof-of-stake blockchain network that is designed to evolve over time without the needing to undergo a hard fork.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that since hitting a low of $2.09 on July 20, the price of XTZ has rallied 165% to a high of $5.53 on Aug. 27 as its 24-hour trading volume surged abov $1 billion.

XTZ/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Three reasons for the strong growth seen in XTZ over the past month include improvements made to the network through the recent ‘Granada’ upgrade, the adoption of the Tezos network by several large banking institutions and attractive staking rewards that entice token holders to stake their coins on the network.

Protocol upgrade reduces transaction costs

As mentioned earlier, the Tezos network is a self-amending blockchain that is capable of being upgraded over time without the need to undergo a hard fork.

Altogether, the Tezos network has undergone seven successful upgrades since launching and and three of them occurred in 2021. The most recent 'Granada' upgrade was implemented on Aug. 6.

Tezos 7th Upgrade 'Granada' Is Now Live!

Emmy* consensus, cutting block times by 50%

Gas improvements, massively reducing gas consumption in smart contracts

✅Liquidity baking, leveraging governance mechanism and incentives to provide for public goods#Tezos #Granada pic.twitter.com/IL4zJBe9oU

— Tezos (@tezos) August 6, 2021 \n\n

According to the team at Tezos, some of the improvements from this recent upgrade include a reduction in the block time from 60 seconds to 30 seconds and a reduction in gas consumption by smart contracts by an average factor of 3 to 6 times.

The new upgrade also introduced liquidity baking which “incentivizes large amounts of decentralized liquidity provision between XTZ and tzBTC by minting a small amount of XTZ every block and depositing it inside of a constant product market-making smart-contract.”

Real-world adoption driven by large banks

A second development that helped provide a boost in the price and awareness was Tezos's adoption by digital asset firm Crypto Finance AG and Swiss business-to-business transaction bank InCore. Both plan to launch a new tokenization tool on the network.

Thank you #InCoreBank and @inacta for another successful collaboration project! The innovative and compliant standard for asset #tokenisation of financial products (FA2) we have enabled together on @tezos is definitely shaping the #blockchain industry.https://t.co/vEENshU4Kh

— Crypto Finance (@CryptoFinanceAG) August 24, 2021 \n\n

The two companies also developed a new Tezos token standard for asset tokenization dubbed the DAR-1 token standard, which will enable the unlocking of new smart contracts-enabled functions that support financial markets, including Anti-Money Laundering (AML) capabilities and asset governance.

InCore has also revealed that it will launch institutional-grade storage, staking and trading services for XTZ, allowing financial institutions the ability to offer staking services for their clients’ assets.

Related: Powers On... Broker disintermediation and unregulated crypto exchanges cause major concerns

Attractive staking rewards reduce the circulating supply

XTZ also appears to be benefiting from attractive staking opportunities that have resulted in a majority of tokens being removed from circulation to help perform consensus in return for staking rewards.

According to data from StakingRewards, the current annualized rate for token holders who delegate their XTZ is 7.85%, while those who are more tech-savvy can start their own Tezos bakery and earn 8.73%.

The process of delegating XTZ is simple for the average user and can be done from any of the wallet interfaces suggested by the project, and multiple exchanges also offer staking services for a small fee including Coinbase, Kraken and Binance.

Tezos supply statistics. Source: TZStats

At the time of writing, data from TZStats indicates that 77.65% of the total supply of XTZ is being actively staked on the network which significantly limits the number of tokens available on the market and is a potential source of positive price pressure.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71739.3ec5c196-1bf0-4742-9b27-59a475b6b947.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:14878,shares:415,tags:[{id:fc,slug:fx,title:fy,url:fz},{id:ev,slug:cp,title:eE,url:cq},{id:"483",slug:"banks",title:"Banks",url:"/tags/banks"},{id:mC,slug:mD,title:mE,url:mF},{id:f$,slug:fA,title:U,url:fd},{id:"1299",slug:"adoption",title:"Adoption",url:"/tags/adoption"},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:"6710",slug:mG,title:mG,url:"/tags/upgrade"},{id:"7315",slug:mH,title:aq,url:"/tags/tezos"},{id:gb,slug:gc,title:ew,url:gd}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71739regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:eZ,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"altcoin-roundup-layer-one-protocols-chip-away-at-ethereum-s-dominance",url:lY,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/altcoin-roundup-layer-one-protocols-chip-away-at-ethereum-s-dominance",title:hk,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:l_,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 23:30",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T22:30:00+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:ga,minute:hr,second:f,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:hw,authorUrl:hx,authorAvatar:hy,previewText:lZ,twitterLeadText:"The battle for layer-one dominance heats up as $AVAX, $LUNA and ADA gain traction, while the Ethereum network is still plagued by high transaction fees.",badgeSlug:gV,badgeName:v,fullText:"

The rise of decentralized finance and nonfungible tokens has transformed the blockchain ecosystem and generated near unimaginable riches for investors, but none of this would be possible without the strong foundation offered by layer-one blockchain networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum. 

Smart contracts and layer-two protocols promise to revolutionize the finance and logistics industry, but they require a robust, secure and distributed network to operate on and to ensure their immutability.

Currently, most of the top layer-two projects operate on the Ethereum network, and this has resulted in increased transaction costs and delayed confirmation times due to network congestion.

The network’s recent London hard fork attracted a lot of attention due to the implementation of a fee-burning mechanism that could eventually make Ether (ETH) a deflationary asset, but it did little to solve the issue of high transaction costs, and the average transaction cost has actually risen since its implementation.

Due to high fees and limited scaling capability, competing layer-one protocols such as Avalanche, Terra and Cardano have been rising in value and attracting new users in recent months as popular projects bridge their ecosystems to these next-generation blockchain protocols.

The rush to Avalanche

One of the biggest price gainers in August has been AVAX, the native token of the Avalanche protocol.

Excitement for the project began to rise following the release of the Avalanche Bridge on July 29. The bridge supports new cross-chain bridging between the Avalanche and Ethereum networks, and the user-friendly nature of the product opened the gates for new users to enter Avalanche’s burgeoning ecosystem.

As of Aug. 24, the bridge has processed more than $1 billion worth of transfers between the two networks, and there are plans to list new assets and stablecoins like USD Coin (USDC) in the near future.

— Avalanche (@avalancheavax) August 24, 2021 \n\n

The protocol has also teamed up with blue-chip decentralized finance (DeFi) projects such as Aave, Curve and SushiSwap for the “Avalanche Rush DeFi Incentive Program,” a $180-million liquidity mining program designed to bring more applications and assets to its growing DeFi ecosystem.

Funds for the program will be used to provide AVAX rewards as liquidity mining incentives for Aave, Curve and SushiSwap users over a three-month period.

DeFi protocols native to Avalanche have also seen a dramatic increase in the total value locked on their platforms. Pangolin leads with a $379.4 million total value locked (TVL), and Benqui has already surpassed the $1-billion TVL mark, according to data from Defi Llama.

Avalanche also has a transaction burning fee mechanism in place, which has burned more than 182,000 AVAX as of the time of writing.

A layer-one with a stablecoin focus

Terra is a unique blockchain protocol in that it has a broad focus on using fiat-pegged stablecoins such as the network’s TerraUSD (UST) to power price-stable global payments systems.

The protocol’s native LUNA token saw its price surge 530% between July 20 and Aug. 24 as a unique token burning mechanism and ongoing community vote to upgrade the network put pressure on the token’s value.

On Aug. 25, the Terra community successfully voted to migrate the Terra network to the Columbus-5 mainnet, and it is expected to be fully launched on Sept. 9.

1/ The on-chain proposal to migrate the Terra network to the Columbus-5 mainnet has officially passed, with 99.99% of votes signaling \"Yes.\" https://t.co/22CS19RbLV

— Terra (UST) Powered by LUNA (@terra_money) August 25, 2021 \n\n

The Terra ecosystem has been steadily growing throughout the year as established projects such as Curve and Yearn.finance integrate UST into their stablecoin pools, and new projects launching on Terra blockchain also benefit from its stablecoin payment capabilities.

Terra ecosystem. Source: Terrians

One of the network’s most popular applications is Anchor Protocol, a savings protocol that offers UST holders low-volatility yields on deposits, while LUNA holders can lock up their tokens as collateral to borrow stablecoins.

The platform helped to boost network activity and ecosystem-connected tokens after it added Ether as a collateral option to mint UST on Aug. 13.

Since the introduction of Ether as a form of collateral for the Terra ecosystem, the total value locked on the protocol has pushed above $6 billion, according to data from Defi Llama.

This makes Terra the third-largest blockchain network by TVL behind Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain.

Related: Stablecoin adoption and the future of financial inclusion

Cardano investors anticipate the network’s smart contract rollout

Another project that has been gaining traction thanks to the promise of smart contract functionality is Cardano, a proof-of-stake blockchain protocol.

The smart contract rollout led Cardano’s ADA token to rally more than 190% in the past three weeks, and investors are excited that DeFi applications will launch once the smart contracts are enabled.

The network and token have also benefited from a high rate of engagement in staking pools, and the most recent data from PoolTool indicates that 70.98% of the circulating supply of ADA is staked on the network.

The protocol has also developed a nonfungible token (NFT)-maker that allows users to mint NFTs without the need for smart contracts through the creation of “native tokens.”

— Cardano Foundation (@CardanoStiftung) July 22, 2021 \n\n

DeFi and NFTs have been the biggest attention grabbers in the crypto ecosystem this year, so the possibility of being able to operate both on the Cardano network may have contributed to ADA’s current rally.

As blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency ecosystem continue on the slow march to mass adoption, the field of competing networks is expected to intensify.

Ethereum is currently the top layer-one blockchain network in terms of smart contract capabilities and active protocols, but it must continue to evolve because a handful of competitors is quickly gaining ground.

Want more information about trading and investing in crypto markets?

  • Number of Cardano millionaires rises by 173% after ADA price hits new highs
  • Institutions appear bullish on crypto despite record Bitcoin outflows
  • The perfect storm: DeFi hacks will advance the crypto sector moving forward
  • Record $900-million month for NFT sales as CryptoPunks go stratospheric
  • Ethereum’s rise to No. 1 crypto “seems unstoppable,” says deVere Group CEO

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71736.14ee11b7-acd7-4dea-9b37-1f6a1efc0000.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:15128,shares:286,tags:[{id:fc,slug:fx,title:fy,url:fz},{id:ev,slug:cp,title:eE,url:cq},{id:mC,slug:mD,title:mE,url:mF},{id:f$,slug:fA,title:U,url:fd},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:mI,slug:hB,title:af,url:mJ},{id:"9259",slug:"stablecoin",title:"Stablecoin",url:"/tags/stablecoin"},{id:ft,slug:y,title:v,url:fu},{id:mx,slug:my,title:mz,url:mA},{id:"9528",slug:"nft",title:"NFT",url:"/tags/nft"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71736regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:e_,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"bitcoin-price-stages-a-comeback-as-3-indicators-reflect-btc-s-strength",url:l$,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-stages-a-comeback-as-3-indicators-reflect-btc-s-strength",title:hl,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:ma,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 19:35",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T18:35:00+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:mK,minute:35,second:f,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:hs,authorUrl:ht,authorAvatar:mm,previewText:"The futures premium, top traders’ long-to-short ratio and options skew all signal that pro traders still feel positive about Bitcoin price. ",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin is likely to encounter resistance at the $50,000 level again but @noshitcoins says three key indicators signal that pro traders still feel bullish about BTC in the short term.",badgeSlug:gV,badgeName:v,fullText:"

Bitcoin (BTC) price is still 4.4% down from its Aug. 23 high at $50,500, leading some traders to question whether the local top marked the end of the recent 34-day long bull run.

Even with the current correction, derivatives data and the maneuvers of professional investors are not flashing any bearish signals.

Bitcoin price in USD at Coinbase. Source: TradingView

On Aug. 24, prominent technical analyst John Bollinger suggested that Bitcoin price could be pushed lower in the short term. A pseudonymous market analyst called 'CryptoHamster' shared a similar bearish outlook based on analyzing a technical pattern called an ascending channel.

Bearish news coming from exchange regulation could have also diminished investors' interest, and this week the United Kingdom's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) released a supervisory notice against Binance exchange.

According to this week's regulatory action, the exchange was asked to take down its live advertisements and promotions on Binance's website and social media.

A bullish trend can be seen in futures markets

To assess whether professional traders became pessimistic, analysts should monitor the futures premium, also known as 'basis.' This indicator measures the price gap between futures prices and the regular spot market.

The one-month contract should trade with a 6% to 14% annualized premium in healthy markets because sellers demand a higher price to postpone settlement, creating a price difference.

Huobi 1-month futures basis. Source: Skew

Notice how the indicator has improved from a neutral-to-bearish 4% annualized premium on Aug. 19 to a more healthy 9% level. This shows that the metric is moving in the opposite direction of the zone, which would be considered bearish.

The top traders long-to-short ratio is still optimistic

To effectively measure how professional traders are positioned, investors should monitor the top traders' long-to-short ratio at leading crypto exchanges. This metric provides a broader view of the traders' effective net position by gathering data from multiple markets.

Top traders BTC long/short ratio. Source: Bybt.com

It is worth noting that exchanges gather data on top traders differently because there are multiple ways to measure a clients' net exposure. Therefore, any comparison between different providers should be made on percentage changes instead of absolute numbers.

Both OKEx and Huobi displayed an increase in the top traders' long-to-short ratio, indicating that either they closed short positions or opened long ones, which is a bullish move. Binance was the only exception because the indicator dropped, indicating some pessimism, but the variation over the past couple of days has been insignificant.

Options markets are slightly bullish

The 25% delta skew compares similar call (buy) and put (sell) options side-by-side. It will turn positive when the protective put options premium is higher than similar risk call options.

The opposite holds when market makers are bullish, and this causes the 25% delta skew indicator to enter the negative range.

Deribit Bitcoin options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

The above chart shows that there had been some bearishness ahead of July 19, but Bitcoin options markets have flipped neutral since then. Moreover, there are no signs that professional traders are growing worried about a potential price drop because the 25% skew indicator remains near zero.

Both futures and options markets show confidence from investors despite the worrisome technical analysis and shaky regulatory scenario.

Consequently, at least according to derivatives markets, dips are for buying.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71725.95f6bff0-cb3d-4bea-a92c-8a2e02a335a1.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:7437,shares:ag,tags:[{id:D,slug:et,title:K,url:co},{id:fc,slug:fx,title:fy,url:fz},{id:"546",slug:"huobi",title:"Huobi",url:"/tags/huobi"},{id:fo,slug:fp,title:fq,url:fr},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:"2183",slug:"cryptocurrency-exchange",title:"Cryptocurrency Exchange",url:"/tags/cryptocurrency-exchange"},{id:mo,slug:mp,title:mq,url:mr},{id:ms,slug:mt,title:mu,url:mv},{id:"7892",slug:"okex",title:"OKEx",url:"/tags/okex"},{id:gY,slug:gZ,title:g_,url:g$},{id:ft,slug:y,title:v,url:fu},{id:"9501",slug:"bitcoin-options",title:"Bitcoin Options",url:"/tags/bitcoin-options"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71725regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:eD,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"solana-hits-record-high-with-sol-price-up-over-218-in-six-weeks-what-s-behind-the-rally",url:mb,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-hits-record-high-with-sol-price-up-over-218-in-six-weeks-what-s-behind-the-rally",title:hm,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mc,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 17:00",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T16:00:24+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:hC,minute:f,second:eF,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:eV,authorUrl:eW,authorAvatar:gU,previewText:"SOL price keeps rising as the U.S. securities regulator registered a Solana-centric fund for institutional investors and crypto market data network Pyth announced going live on the Solana blockchain.",twitterLeadText:"Solana (SOL) rises to a record high of almost $85 — What's driving the bulls?",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:ew,fullText:"

Solana (SOL) prices printed another milestone of nearly $85 high on Aug. 27 as traders assessed a flurry of optimistic fundamentals, including Solana's potential foray into Wall Street.

On Aug. 24, digital asset management firm Osprey Funds registered a first-of-its-kind Solana fund with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In doing so, the New York firm hinted at giving institutional exposure to SOL markets as the token's value surged by more than 4,300% in 2021. 

A day later, real-time data feeder Pyth Network announced that it is going live on Solana's proof-of-stake blockchain. The firm provides \"high-fidelity streaming data\" from trading firms and exchanges, which allows it to cover global market activity without depending on any single data source.

Pyth will use Solana's cross-chain communication protocol \"Wormhole\" to broadcast market data with decentralized applications functioning atop Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain, and Terra blockchains.

The uplifting events assisted the SOL/USD exchange rate rise to a record high of $84.96 on Friday, up more than 218% in six weeks of trading.

\\ Solana daily price chart. Source: TradingView.com

SOL bulls see higher demand prospects

Traders apparently raised their bids on the pair, anticipating that its foray into Wall Street, coupled with adoption in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, would boost the demand for SOL tokens in the future.

That is primarily because SOL serves two primary cases in the Solana network. First, users can stake their SOL holdings directly on the network or by delegating them to an active validator to secure the blockchain. In return, stakeholders receive inflation rewards proportional to their staking balance.

Second, users can use SOL as fees for conducting transactions or running smart contracts. Therefore, the more the projects get deployed into the Solana ecosystem, the higher the promise to boost the demand for SOL tokens.

The previous weeks attested to ongoing growth in the Solana ecosystem. For instance, Solana forayed successfully in the non-fungible token (NFT) sector mid-Aug with the launch of Degenerate Apes. The project saw a collection of the 10,000 pictures of comic apes selling out in just eight minutes.

Related: Solana price soars to new highs with DeFi project launch, $70M DEX funding

As it happened, the overall trading volume reached almost 96,000 SOL (over $5.9 million at that time).

Significant move on #Solana against the market. That for me (a guess) suggests cash rotating in for the NFT market that's just beginning to warm up.

— Tyler (@TylerDurden) August 26, 2021 \n\n

SOL/USD technical setup

Solana's latest upside move has prompted it to test an upward sloping trendline as resistance, which constitutes an Ascending Channel, as shown in the chart below.

\\ SOL/USD 4H chart featuring an ascending channel setup. Source: TradingView.com

The SOL/USD price rally has slowed down near the Channel's upper trendline, awaiting either a bullish breakout or a pullback towards the Channel's lower trendline, with the 50-4H exponential moving average (the velvet wave) near $72.14 as interim support target.

Meanwhile, the daily SOL/USD chart also alerts potential downside risks due to overbought relative strength readings (RSI above 70). Nonetheless, strong fundamentals could keep providing bullish backstops even in the face of interim price corrections.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71718.e9170d9f-dfc7-4783-a7bb-1b71318ecda4.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:27533,shares:74,tags:[{id:ev,slug:cp,title:eE,url:cq},{id:"435",slug:"proof-of-stake",title:"Proof-of-Stake",url:"/tags/proof-of-stake"},{id:gW,slug:fU,title:fn,url:gX},{id:"1526",slug:"proof-of-work",title:"Proof-of-Work",url:"/tags/proof-of-work"},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am},{id:fV,slug:fW,title:fs,url:fX},{id:ha,slug:hb,title:hc,url:hd},{id:ft,slug:y,title:v,url:fu},{id:gb,slug:gc,title:ew,url:gd},{id:"9524",slug:"solana",title:"Solana",url:"/tags/solana"},{id:"9541",slug:"markets-pro",title:hD,url:"/tags/markets-pro"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71718regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:e$,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"uber-dovish-fed-sparks-s-p-500-all-time-high-as-analyst-calls-new-bitcoin-impulse-move",url:md,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/uber-dovish-fed-sparks-s-p-500-all-time-high-as-analyst-calls-new-bitcoin-impulse-move",title:hn,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:me,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 16:08",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T15:08:43+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:eI,minute:u,second:mL,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:ge,authorUrl:gf,authorAvatar:hA,previewText:"It's bullishness all round except for the U.S. dollar after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's latest speech, as Bitcoin gains $1,400 in under an hour.",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin gets a $1,500 boost on Fed remarks amid talk of a new \"bullish impulse\" move.",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:"Breaking news",fullText:"

Bitcoin (BTC) gained almost $1,500 in under an hour on Aug. 26 after an \"uber dovish\" speech by Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BTC price action charges upwards

Speaking at the virtual Jackson Hole annual symposium, Powell hinted that the Fed would begin to reduce its asset purchases in place since the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.

A long-awaited signal, the move, referred to as \"tapering,\" may come this year, but Powell did not give a firm deadline for it to begin.

\"Even after our asset purchases end, our elevated holdings of longer-term securities will continue to support accommodative financial conditions,\" he said.

\"The timing and pace of financial reduction of asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate lift-off, for which have articulated a different and substantially more stringent test.\"

A reduction in asset purchases would likely take the wind out of the stock markets' sails, the Fed thus sparing indexes losses with Powell's remarks. The SP 500 went on to hit fresh all-time highs afte the speech.

At the same time, the U.S. dollar weakened, while Bitcoin showed clear strength, hitting local highs of over $48,400 on Bitstamp.

Traders and analysts alike were conspicuously bullish.

\"Put on your rally hat, futures have expired and bitcoin is rising,\" Scott Melker summarized, also noting that the $2 billion end-of-month expiry for open interest had completed.

Popular Twitter trader Ryan Cantering Clark meanwhile described Powell's tone as \"uber dovish\" and advocated long positions.

Did Bitcoin just begin a new bullish surge?

Beyond the Fed, bullishness continued looking further out at the coming weeks for Bitcoin.

Related: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust FUD is now over as the last GBTC unlock totals just 58 BTC

On Friday, analyst William Clemente went as far as to call the start of a new \"bullish impulse\" move similar to that seen at the end of July.

\"After some profit-taking earlier in the week, it appears that we are starting another Bullish Impulse,\" he said, eyeing several on-chain metrics related to Bitcoin's \"supply shock.\"

\"Will need to monitor these flows over the next few days, but as of now leaning bullish for the coming 1-2 weeks.\" Bitcoin supply shock metrics chart. Source: William Clemente/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, the verdict on what is to come in Q4 this year remains firmly bullish.

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71714.3319556a-0224-49e8-bbf9-2c06af207e49.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:11769,shares:235,tags:[{id:D,slug:et,title:K,url:co},{id:fo,slug:fp,title:fq,url:fr},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71714regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:fa,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"bitcoin-could-hit-30k-or-100k-this-year-as-analyst-warns-next-months-are-key",url:mf,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-could-hit-30k-or-100k-this-year-as-analyst-warns-next-months-are-key",title:ho,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mg,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 14:31",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T13:31:38+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:fC,minute:mn,second:38,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:ge,authorUrl:gf,authorAvatar:hA,previewText:"Bitcoin price forecasts differ hugely depending on the methodology used, but stock-to-flow creator PlanB favors his $100,000 average target.",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin price models spar as @100trillionUSD hints $100,000 is more likely than $30,000 by 2022. ",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:"Markets News",fullText:"

Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $100,000 or bottom out at $30,000 by Christmas — but one of its best-known analysts is betting on the moon.

In a Twitter update on Thursday, PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow family of BTC price models, cast fresh doubt on a Bitcoin bear move.

PlanB focuses on “key” remaining months

With BTC/USD trading at $47,000 this week, PlanB has a lot to be confident about.

His recent prediction of a minimum monthly close for August exactly matches current prices — and if the remaining four are just as accurate, Bitcoin could end 2021 at $135,000.

Stock-to-flow’s first incarnation demands an average BTC price of $100,000 this halving cycle, but May’s about-turn gave its time-tested precision a run for its money.

PlanB has nonetheless stuck by it, arguing that it has not yet been invalidated and that there are no proven better alternatives.

One such alternative model, which now appears unlikely to come true, is the logarithmic “diminishing returns” chart originally produced by Bitcointalk forum user Trololo in 2014.

An adjusted version calculates just $30,000 for BTC/USD at the end of this year, something that PlanB believes is less likely than stock-to-flow’s $100,000.

“Next months will be key,” he added in comments on an accompanying chart contrasting the two models.

\\ BTC/USD price model comparison chart. Source: PlanB/Twitter

When double top?

As Cointelegraph reported, short-term BTC price analysis is erring on the cautious side this week.

Related: More like ‘shock-to-flow’ — BTC price hits bull trigger as mystery buyers scoop up supply

As $50,000 remains out of reach as support, opinions are differing over the potential impact of the United States Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole summit, which is shortly to get underway.

Despite rallying 60% versus recent lows of $29,000, Bitcoin has yet to challenge final resistance to cement $50,000, let alone all-time highs of $64,500 from April.

Zooming out, optimism remains the name of the game, with data hinting at a fresh bullish surge to come before the year is out. This would copy other post-halving bull market years, notably 2013’s double top.

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/71702.cd3efbb4-eece-452c-9eaf-13e75ee553ef.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:29314,shares:263,tags:[{id:D,slug:et,title:K,url:co},{id:fo,slug:fp,title:fq,url:fr},{id:ak,slug:al,title:ac,url:am}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=71702regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:fb,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"cardano-chart-painting-a-bull-flag-for-3-ada-price-ahead-of-erc-20-converter-launch",url:mh,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/cardano-chart-painting-a-bull-flag-for-3-ada-price-ahead-of-erc-20-converter-launch",title:hp,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mi,datePublished:eG,dateHuman:eH,humanDateTime:"2021-08-27 12:15",dateISOFull:"2021-08-27T11:15:44+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:C,month:u,day:ex,hour:aG,minute:eI,second:44,millisecond:f},categorySlug:y,categoryUrl:G,categoryName:v,authorName:eV,authorUrl:eW,authorAvatar:gU,previewText:"A classic technical pattern points to a 20% price rally in the Cardano market, with its profit target sitting above $3.",twitterLeadText:"Cardano (ADA) appears to be heading towards a new record high. ",badgeSlug:i,badgeName:ew,fullText:"

Cardano (ADA) appears to be heading toward a new record high as its downside move takes the shape of a bull flag.

In detail, the ADA/USD exchange rate plunged 16.91% to $2.47, but the pair’s decline came after a strong move higher, wherein it surged over 120% month-to-date to reach an all-time high of $2.97 on Monday. Therefore, the latest declines have given the impression that Cardano is undergoing a brief pause before it resumes its uptrend.

Part of the upside analogy stems from the downward sloping channel itself — two parallel trendlines enveloping the price moves. In addition, the consolidation accompanies falling volumes, indicating a weaker response from traders to pursue the downtrend.

As a result, the shape appears like a bull flag, as shown in the chart below.

\\ Cardano 4H price chart featuring bull flag setup. Source: TradingView

Typically, bull flags prompt traders to enter the market at the pattern’s bottom or breakout above the upper trendline’s high. In doing so, traders target levels located at a distance equal to the size of the flag pole — i.e., the height of the uptrend that preceded the bull flag formation.

Cardano’s flagpole is $0.58-long. As a result, ADA/USD’s bull flag target is $3.05 if measured from the pattern’s bottom at $2.47, about 23.65% higher.

More bullish cues come from the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the velvet wave). Traders have shown their intention to hold 50-4H EMA as interim support, somewhat validating a breakout move for ADA/USD if it manages to float above the wave. 

The 50-4H EMA has been acting as a market entry level since July 21, 2021.

Additional support confluence for ADA/USD comes from the ascending channel’s lower trendline shown in the chart below. The pattern points toward a major price rebound, with a profit target at its upper trendline.

\\ Cardano price chart featuring ascending channel pattern. Source: TradingView

In doing so, it could have ADA achieve its bull flag target midway. 

Supportive fundamentals 

The bullish technical setups emerged majorly due to euphoria surrounding Cardano’s long-awaited smart contracts feature, set to go live on Sept. 12 via the Alonzo upgrade.

The news boosted hopes that Cardano would be able to rival Ethereum, the biggest smart contracts platform, which has lately struggled with network congestion and higher transaction fees. As a result, demand for Cardano’s native asset, ADA, has been steadily growing.

Do you believe #Cardano will flip #Ethereum after 2.0 is fully operational?

— Crypto Daily (@Crypto_Daily) August 22, 2021 \n\n

In the latest Cardano 360 event, its top executives announced further plans to attract Ethereum blockchain users. Francisco Landino, project manager at IOHK — the research and development arm behind Cardano — said Cardano would launch the testnet of an ERC-20 migration tool next week. 

Related: Cardano Foundation partners with Coinfirm for FATF and 6AMLD compliance

As a result, users will be able to transfer their Ethereum standard tokens (ERC-20) to Cardano’s native blockchain. SingularityNET, a decentralized artificial intelligence network, will migrate its native token, AGIX, from Ethereum to Cardano.

During the event, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson also said that over 100 companies have been planning to move to Cardano in the coming months.

The upside outlook also came amid concerns over Cardano’s efforts to gain legitimacy from financial regulators despite championing itself as a “decentralized public blockchain.”

Namely, the Cardano Foundation has partnered with Confirm, a blockchain analytics firm, to boost its compliance efforts to fall in line with the Financial Action Task Force’s guidelines. Nevertheless, Weiss Crypto Ratings, a rating agency for cryptocurrencies, warned that Cardano’s decision would make its network “censorship-prone, politicized, and manipulated.”

4/ The whole point is to build a new financial and economic layer, free from the control and repression of those who have brought our world economy to the brink of total failure, able to be sustained only by excessive and aggressive centrally planned intervention.

— Weiss Crypto (@WeissCrypto) August 25, 2021 \n\n

The ADA/USD exchange rate was $2.61 at the time of writing, up over 6.5% from its sessional low.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

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m",coinTradeVol:ep,coinTradeVolFormatted:eq,supply:er,supplyFormatted:es}]},currencies:[{id:pA,name:k,sign:pB,value:gp},{id:pC,name:l,sign:pD,value:gx},{id:pE,name:m,sign:pF,value:gD},{id:pG,name:n,sign:go,value:gE},{id:pH,name:o,sign:pI,value:gG},{id:pJ,name:p,sign:pK,value:gI},{id:pL,name:q,sign:pM,value:gJ},{id:pN,name:pO,sign:pP,value:gL},{id:pQ,name:B,sign:go,value:gQ}],graphs:{}},types:{},user:{isAuthed:a,isAuthedBySocials:a,token:h,id:h,firstName:c,lastName:c,userName:c,avatar:c,email:c,description:c,userGaId:c,ipAddress:"163.172.190.152",analyticsData:[],sessionId:c},vendors:{isVendorsModalShown:a,info:{},localI18n:{}},viewport:{isWindowActive:b,viewportWidth:f,viewportHeight:f,scrollTop:f,scrollIsLocked:a,breakpoint:"XS",isOverlayVisible:a,userDeviceType:{apple:{phone:a,ipod:a,tablet:a,device:a},amazon:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},android:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},windows:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},other:{blackberry:a,blackberry10:a,opera:a,firefox:a,chrome:a,safari:a,device:a},any:a,phone:a,tablet:a},bottomZoneHeight:f}},serverRendered:b,routePath:gR}}(false,true,"",void 0,2,0,"_self",null,"default",1,"USD","EUR","GBP","JPY","RUR","KRW","TRY",3,"Language",4,8,"Market Analysis","en","es","market-analysis","1","2","CNY",2021,"4","EOS","NEO","/category/market-analysis","23","changelly-button","18.83 m","Bitcoin","https://hitbtc.com/?ref_id=5cba0be404aa3","xxs","xs","sm","md","lg","1.00","7","9","Ethereum","adbutler",5,10,"https://changelly.com?utm_source=cointelegraphutm_medium=referralutm_campaign=changellyctengbuttonref_id=le9ssi8dgmskmqu0","hitbtc-button","promo_button","8","0.85","article","Markets","cointelegraph.com","es.cointelegraph.com","Cardano",51,"17",79,138,"2014","markets","/tags/markets","en.LanguageType.1","en.LanguageType.2","Cosmos","Tezos","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=7376af3992","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=aad9f6b505","21","22",6,"26","27",48,"/bitcoin-cash-price-index","/ltc-price-index","/xrp-price-index","/xmr-price-index","_blank",9,12,11,"it",47,50,"BTC","/bitcoin-price","ETH","/ethereum-price","3","LTC","Litecoin","XRP","Ripple","6","BCH","Bitcoin Cash","XMR","Monero","DASH","Dash","/dash-price-index","/eos-price-index","11","ZEC","Zcash","/zec-price-index","12","ADA","/ada-price-index","13","/neo-price-index","14","TRX","TRON","/tron-price-index","15","BNB","Binance Coin","/binance-coin-price-index","16","XLM","Stellar","/stellar-price-index","USDT","Tether","/tether-price-index","18","MIOTA","IOTA","/iota-price-index","19","ONT","Ontology","/ontology-price-index","20","MKR","Maker","/maker-price-index","BSV","Bitcoin SV","/bsv-price-index","DOGE","Dogecoin","/doge-price-index","ETC","Ethereum Classic","/etc-price-index","24","XTZ","/xtz-price-index","XEM","NEM","/nem-price-index","USDC","USD Coin","/usdc-price-index","28","CRO","Crypto.com Coin","/crypto-com-price-index","29","ATOM","/cosmos-price-index","30","LEO","UNUS SED LEO","/leo-price-index","1.00 b","1.90 b","0.73","/tags/bitcoin","altcoin","/tags/altcoin","br","cointelegraph.com.br","pt-BR","Y2hhbmdlbGx5LWJ1dHRvbg==","Changelly",95,588369.08,"588.37 k",18800606,"18.80 m",4692500.72,"4.69 m",117301770.6865,"117.30 m",14047290.24,"14.05 m",66752614.51538747,"66.75 m",3092846477.14,"3.09 b",99990303749,"99.99 b",4765343.73,"4.77 m",18831043.75,651641.74,"651.64 k",17982481.54976577,"17.98 m",1184302,"1.18 m",10306726.61589145,"10.31 m",292069538.26,"292.07 m",1032774925.9357,"1.03 b",1256077.4,"1.26 m",12532081.25,"12.53 m",1852809492.76,"1.85 b",33050654414.217,"33.05 b",8337826.13,"8.34 m",100000000,"100.00 m",13906618507.26,"13.91 b",100850743811.662,"100.85 b",3742525.42,"3.74 m",168137036,"168.14 m",1328318616.38,"1.33 b",50001802856.44143,"50.00 b",66776497018.09,"66.78 b",67432085235.95035,"67.43 b",40479134.5,"40.48 m",2779530283,"2.78 b",116869541.06,"116.87 m",1000000000,37644.03,"37.64 k",991328.38195493,"991.33 k",7527303.93,"7.53 m",18827770.39423905,5386868568.92,"5.39 b",131060005023.22984,"131.06 b",76179557.24,"76.18 m",210700000,"210.70 m",137635177,"137.64 m",887194722.031556,"887.19 m",426053870.58,"426.05 m",8999999999,"9.00 b",1902275485.72,27185662812.16919,"27.19 b",248072644.62,"248.07 m",30263013692,"30.26 b",28244860.78,"28.24 m",278291007.753025,"278.29 m",751987.73,"751.99 k",985239504,"985.24 m","bitcoin","71743","139","Altcoin Watch",27,"en.LanguageType.23","Note that all trading strategies are to be used at your own risk. Before trading, we recommend to make sure that you have a clear understanding of cryptocurrencies and how they are traded.","side","youtube","0.16","71718","Altcoin",24,"2021-08-27","Aug 27, 2021",15,7,"Large devices"," 1200px","Medium devices"," 992px","Small tablets"," 768px","Smartphones"," 480px","Extra small devices","