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Ankr Network, Stacks and Kadena rally while most altcoins cool off

by Donna Ryder

ANK, STX and KDA took a different path than most altcoins by posting double-digit gains over the past 24 hours.

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Ankr Network, Stacks and Kadena rally while most altcoins cool off

Even with Bitcoin (BTC) price on the verge of a new all-time high, the cryptocurrency market projects an aura of anxious optimism on Oct. 18 as investors await the official launch of the first Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which is set to begin trading on Oct. 19. 

While the market waits for the historic ETF launch, BTC bulls are battling to hold the $62,000 level as support. Meanwhile, a handful of altcoins posted double-digit rallies on Oct. 18 as traders look to capitalize on the gains they provide when Bitcoin price consolidates.

Top 7 coins with the highest 24-hour price change. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the biggest gainers over the past 24 hours were Ankr Network (ANKR), Stacks (STX) and Kadena (KDA).

Ankr Network partners with the Sacramento Kings

Ankr Network's blockchain solution is designed to use idle computing power from devices and data centers from around the world to help power the crypto ecosystem.

VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro began to detect a bullish outlook for ANKR on Oct. 17, prior to the recent price rise.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historical and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. ANKR price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for ANKR began to pick up on Oct. 17 and climbed to a high of 70 around four hours before the price spiked 46% over the next day.

The jump in price for ANKR comes following the project’s multi-year sponsorship deal with the National Basketball Association’s (NBA) Sacramento Kings.

Stacks advances toward launching smart contracts on Bitcoin

Stacks (STX) is a layer-one blockchain solution focused on bringing smart contracts and decentralized applications to the Bitcoin network.

VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro began to detect a bullish outlook for STX on Oct. 11, prior to the recent price rise.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. STX price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for STX began to pick up on Oct.11 and reached a high of 88, around five hours before the price began to increase by 55% over the next week.

The rise in prominence for STX comes as the possible launch of multiple BTC ETFs has excited the wider investment community about the possibility of smart contract capabilities on the Bitcoin network.

Related: Grayscale confirms Bitcoin ETF plans and adds exposure to Zcash, Stellar Lumens and Horizen to its trusts

Kadena adds NFT capabilities

The price of Kadena (KDA) also took a bullish turn over the last 24 hours.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after hitting a low of $2.14 on Oct. 16, the price of KDA has rallied 30% to a daily high at $2.79 on Oct. 18 as its 24-hour trading volume spiked 313% to $9.4 million.

KDA/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The increase in momentum for KDA comes following the protocol's partnership with Immutable Records, which will bring a fully-built nonfungible token (NFT) marketplace to the Kadena ecosystem.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $2.462 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 47.2%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin (BTC) has barely started its run to new all-time highs if its relative strength index (RSI) repeats historical behavior.

As noted by popular Twitter analyst TechDev on Oct. 18, the RSI has yet to produce macro top signals for BTC/USD.

RSI falls far short of classic macro top zone

Bitcoin has kept the market guessing as it tracks sideways just below all-time highs without hitting them this month.

With time, concerns have mounted that the blow-off top that many expect may not be as high as the bulls hope.

Looking at technical data, however, the real state of Bitcoin's bull run becomes apparent — there's a lot more left.

\"Update on the two-week RSI channel which has called every Bitcoin top and bottom in history,\" TechDev explained.

\"Current RSI Value: 68. Projected Top Value: 93-94. Every time it's broken the EQ it's visited the top. Clear skies ahead. Don't forget this when it comes time to reinvest at the bottom.\"

History has proven RSI to be a key factor in tracking Bitcoin price strength on longer timeframes. A 90+ reading has coincided with tops, and until this level is broken, Bitcoin spot price action trends higher.

BTC/USD chart with RSI peaks highlighted. Source: TechDev/ Twitter

TechDev previously forecasted a potential top for this cycle lying between $200,000 and $300,000 — again based on mathematical phenomena, notably Fibonacci sequences, which have also characterized every bull run.

Extreme greed lurks in the background

Technical formulae such as these paint a decidedly different picture to price metrics based on different aspects of crypto markets.

Related: All-time high weekly close — 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week

This week, the Crypto Fear Greed Index returned to its highest possible area, \"extreme greed.\"

At 78/100, the Index is noticeably closer to its own peak than the RSI — this, likewise, historically signaling macro tops. 

As Cointelegraph reported, 95/100 and up has accompanied every top in Bitcoin's history, leaving precious little room for growth unless that growth, itself, becomes more sustainable.

Crypto Fear Greed Index as of Oct. 18. Source: Alternative.me \n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74467.520cb74a-ba61-42de-9595-2e2ebc2fc106.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:2955,shares:gl,tags:[{id:A,slug:eE,title:J,url:es},{id:fj,slug:fk,title:fl,url:fm},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74467regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:gh,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"this-ethereum-price-chart-pattern-suggests-eth-can-reach-6-5k-in-q4",url:mH,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/this-ethereum-price-chart-pattern-suggests-eth-can-reach-6-5k-in-q4",title:ho,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mI,datePublished:ax,dateHuman:"3 hours ago",humanDateTime:"2021-10-18 17:35",dateISOFull:"2021-10-18T16:35:21+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:M,hour:eK,minute:gm,second:cm,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:gn,authorUrl:go,authorAvatar:hA,previewText:"The upside outlook appears as ETH price eyes a breakout above its five-month-old resistance trendline.",twitterLeadText:"A decisive break above Ethereum's psychological resistance could propel ETH above $6,000. ",badgeSlug:hB,badgeName:v,fullText:"

Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) has rallied by more than 415% this year to over $3,800, and two major bullish patterns developing on its charts highlight the scope for another upside move, ultimately toward the $6,200–$6,500 price range.

ETH price eyes $4K resistance breakout

The first decisive break above the psychological $4,000-mark, which serves as a resistance trendline to a five-month-old ascending triangle and a cup and handle pattern, could trigger a textbook price rally in the coming sessions. 

In detail, the $6,250-level appears as the profit target for the Ascending Triangle pattern, calculated by measuring the widest distance between its horizontal and rising trendlines and adding the output to the potential breakout level around $4,000.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring Ascending Triangle (black) and Cup Handle (blue) pattern. Source: TradingView 

Thus, the price boom reflects moves equivalent by roughly 64%.

At the same time, the Cup and Handle pattern, which has a slightly lower success rate than Ascending Triangle, shows a potential run-up toward $6,550 in the coming sessions, up by 56% from current levels.

Its profit target emerges by measuring the distance between the Cup's right peak and its bottom and adding the outcome to the potential breakout level around $4,000 — the same as Ascending Triangle.

One of the primary catalysts that support the two bullish indicators is trading volume, which has been falling across the formation of the said patterns. That suggests a weak consolidation sentiment among traders. Meanwhile, the relative strength index (RSI) below the overbought threshold of 70 also shows adequate room for a bull run.

The Bitcoin correlation effect

The optimistic outlook for ETH appears in the wake of a market-wide upside boom led by Bitcoin's (BTC) 29% month-to-date price rally.

According to CryptoWatch, the 30-day correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and Ethereum sits near 0.89, meaning that the success rate of the two assets moving in sync is 89%.

Ecoinometrics, a crypto-focused newsletter service, noted the positive correlation as it highlighted the Ether price's reaction to Bitcoin \"halvings,\" a pre-programmed event that slashes the BTC's issuance rate by half every four years, against its 21 million supply cap.

The portal studied Bitcoin and Ether's price reactions to the previous two halvings and applied the dataset to predict their tops after the third halving, which took place on May 11, 2020. As a result, it anticipated BTC to rise 29.5x times to hit $253,800 by late November 2021.

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum — Post BTC halving growth trajectory. Source: Ecoinometrics

Similarly, Ecoinometrics highlighted $22,300 as Ether's price target in the same period, based on its 120x price rally following the second Bitcoin halving.

ETH supply crunch continues

More bullish cues for Ethereum appeared in the form of its ongoing supply squeeze.

Related: Ethereum price hits $3,800, boosting bulls' control in Friday's ETH options expiry

Notably, the total number of Ether deposited into the Ethereum 2.0 smart contract reached an all-time high of around 7.98 million ETH on Oct. 1. These tokens remain locked/untransferable for one year or more.

Ethereum total value in ETH 2.0 deposit contract. Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, the total amount of Ether held across all exchanges continued to stay around its record low levels, with CryptoQuant reporting 18.187 million ETH in reserves on Monday compared to 23.323 million ETH a year ago.

Ethereum reserves across all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

Moreover, crypto data tracker Santiment reported a rise in new Ether addresses last week while the number of non-zero Ether wallets reached a record high of 64.5 million.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

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The Shiba Inu (SHIB) market is in a very strong bull market in 2021, and one major continuation pattern on its longer timeframe charts highlights the scope for an additional 90% upside move ahead.

In detail, SHIB rose over 1,250% year-to-date (YTD) to establish the yearly high at $0.00003528 (data from Binance) on Oct. 8. Later, the cryptocurrency cracked under the profit-taking sentiment, leading to a 41.50% price correction to $0.00002060.

But bulls started accumulating SHIB near the said low level. A rebound ensued and the price rallied over 55% to $0.00003200, where it met another round of selloffs. Overall, the SHIB price kept forming lower highs and higher lows in the next sessions, forming a Triangle structure that appeared like a Bull Pennant.

Analysts treat Pennants as bullish continuation patterns, i.e., their formation, coupled with declining trade volumes, tends to send prices in the direction of their previous trend — by as much as the height of the previous price rally, also known as Flagpole.

So it appears, SHIB has been forming the same structure.

SHIB/USDT 12-hour price chart featuring Bull Pennant setup. Source: TradingView

The SHIB Flagpole's height comes to be around $0.00002450. Therefore, considering the cryptocurrency would pursue a breakout to the upside from the Bull Pennant's apex (the level at which its upper and lower trendlines converge), its next target would be at around $0.00005200, roughly 90% higher.

Yet, Pennants are notorious for being the worst reliable technical indicators, at least according to a study conducted by Samurai Trading Academy's Cody Hind in 2020, based on his assessment of 10 years of market data and over 200,000 trading structures. 

He found that Bull Pennants successfully reached their price targets in 54.87% of cases.

Macro fundamentals

The SHIB price almost doubled in October, in part due to Tesla CEO Elon Musk's cryptic endorsement of the Shiba Inu project and amid reports of whale buying activity and the rise of its decentralized exchange ShibaSwap.

Specifically, Musk posted the picture of his Shiba Inu puppy on Oct. 4. The billionaire entrepreneur's tweet coincided with the SHIB price rallying by more than 330% in the next four days, reminiscent of how he influenced the prices of Dogecoin (DOGE) earlier this year.  

Floki Frunkpuppy pic.twitter.com/xAr8T0Jfdf

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 4, 2021 \n\n

The jump also took cues from reports of whale buying activity in the Shiba Inu market. For the uninitiated, Yahoo Finance highlighted in its Oct. 5 report that an unknown entity purchased 6.2 trillion SHIB for circa $44 million in late September.

Related: Shiba Inu rebounds 40% despite major selling by SHIB whales

Meanwhile, Shiba Inu's namesake, decentralized exchange ShibaSwap, detected a surge in the amount held by its liquidity pools. As of Oct. 18, the total value locked inside the ShibaSwap contracts was $411.42 million versus $253.41 million at the beginning of this month, as per data provided by DeFi Llama.

ShibaSwap TVL as of Oct 18, 2021. Source: Defi Llama

At its prime, in July 2021, ShibaSwap was managing $1.76 billion worth of funds via its liquidity pool.

Ishan Arora, a hedge fund manager associated with Tykhe Block Ventures, told Yahoo Finance that Shiba Inu emerged as a product of an ongoing craze for meme cryptocurrencies, adding that most people buy these tokens as the result o some influencers' advice.

Arora warned investors about the risks of putting money into such one-hit wonders, but mentioned Dogecoin for its ability to return incredible profits earlier this year.

\"Early Doge investors last year did quite well, so it is not as black and white as most want it to be.”

Meanwhile, crypto data tracking service Santiment detected an increase in Shiba Inu whale transactions over $100,000 in the past 24 hours, noting that their occurrence is typically bullish for SHIB.

Shiba Inu whale transactions exceeding $100K. Source: Santiment

\"When these transactions come in bunches, price rises generally follow,\" the platform wrote in a tweet published Monday.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

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Bitcoin (BTC) simply refuses to die this week as a dip below $60,000 barely lasts an hour and bears are burned yet again.

After a fairly calm weekend, Sunday, Oct. 17, saw a typical drawdown before a dramatic resurgence took place for BTC/USD just an hour later.

With that, Bitcoin has preserved not only its bullish trajectory but has also sealed its highest weekly close ever — around $61,500.

As the market braces for a possible start of trading for the United States’ first Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF), volatility is all but guaranteed, analysts say.

Cointelegraph takes a look at five things to consider in the week that BTC/USD squares up to all-time highs and institutional access takes a historic leap forward.

Bitcoin gives less than an hour to “buy the dip”

Just when it seemed that the run to all-time highs had hit a stumbling block, Bitcoin surprised everyone yet again overnight.

After losing $60,000 late Sunday, bulls had no time for BTC price weakness, and before BTC/USD had even hit $59,000, they embarked on an aggressive buying spree.

Hours later, the pair was back above not only $60,000 but $62,000 — and has stayed there at the time of writing.

The episode did not even impact Bitcoin’s weekly close, which despite volatility still came in as the highest of all time — around $61,500.

“The historic Weekly Close now means BTC is well-positioned for further upside,” trader and analyst Rekt Capital summarized on Monday.

He added that the next phase of BTC price action will be “more volatile” than what has come before in previous bull market years 2013 and 2017.

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

As various analysts celebrate the weekly close milestone, meanwhile, the upcoming U.S. market open could also provide excitement.

Monday, Oct. 18, could see the launch of the first-ever Bitcoin ETF products with the blessing of U.S. regulators, this coming as BTC/USD is less than $3,000 from new all-time highs.

On the topic of derivatives, funding rates across exchanges have also cooled since last week, providing relief for those concerned about unsustainable upside leading to a blow-off top.

Bitcoin funding rates chart. Source: Bybt

ETFs are “go,” but not for everyone

Love it or hate it, this week is all about the Bitcoin ETF.

As rumors began circulating about a U.S. regulatory green light late last week, Bitcoin price action heated up — and this week looks set to continue the trend.

After years of rejections, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is preparing to witness the launch of two ETF products both based on CME Group Bitcoin futures.

These precede a lengthy decision-making process, which begins next month, concerning physical Bitcoin ETFs — those with actual BTC as their underlying asset and which form the topic of real interest for analysts.

There is no guarantee that those traditional ETFs will get approved, and concerns already abound that the market may end up disappointed once more.

With multiple applications to be decided on, however, there remain six months for a breakthrough from the SEC.

Bitcoin ETF approval timeline. Source: Arcane Research

Optimism that the tide will turn in the crypto industry’s favor continues this week, as Grayscale confirms that it will apply to convert its flagship Bitcoin fund product to an ETF.

stay tuned

— Barry Silbert (@BarrySilbert) October 17, 2021 \n\n

Grayscale’s fund, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), has been a talking point in itself in recent weeks, trading at an increasing discount to spot BTC amid fears that institutional clients are voting with their feet in the run-up to the ETF launch.

The former’s higher fees ar one example of the competitive advantage debate, while some have noted that futures-based ETFs will not function as a suitable alternative by definition.

This chart shows why you’re better off buying #Bitcoin than Bitcoin Future ETF. For investors, new Bitcoin ETFs might be more costly than purchasing cryptocurrency directly. Bitcoin Future has underperformed by 30ppts since start of Bitcoin Future in 2017. https://t.co/1ZnVBJQlGa pic.twitter.com/oXrZ95Wsmg

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 17, 2021 \n\n

“To begin with, most institutional players have direct access to CME futures. Typically, the main reason they would choose to trade ETFs instead of futures would be to avoid tracking error (against spot price) from futures roll costs or price deviations from to contango or backwardation,” crypto trading firm QCP Capital added in a circular to Telegram channel subscribers Friday.

“As such, having the ETF based on CME futures defeats the fundamental advantage of ETFs; to track spot price as closely as possible.”

Difficulty set for a seventh straight increase

Bitcoin network fundamentals continue to impress this week, and difficulty is leading the pack.

What is arguably Bitcoin’s most essential feature is going from strength to strength and, on Tuesday, Oct. 19, is set to seal a seventh consecutive increase. The last time that occurred was in 2019.

That increase will take difficulty back above 20 trillion for the first time since June.

\\ Bitcoin 7-day average difficulty chart. Source: Blockchain.com

This comes despite some volatility in the hash rate, with estimates now back down to 123 exahashes per second (EH/s), having reached in excess of 140 EH/s this month.

With the overall uptrend still intact, however, concerns are few and far between amid news that the U.S. now provides a home for the lion’s share of Bitcoin mining power.

Supply shock predicts a “good year” in 2022

While Bitcoin price forecasts focus on what might be possible in Q4 this year, some are already looking further afield — and using data to arrive at even more bullish conclusions.

One analyst painting a rosy picture for 2022 is Willy Woo, creator of data resource Woobull and well known for his Bitcoin market cycle research.

Over the weekend, Woo highlighted Bitcoin’s increasing scarcity as likely fuel for a sustained price squeeze.

Historically, he noted, decreasing supply combined with more of that supply staying in the hands of hodlers with no plans to sell creates a powerful bull signal.

His metric, “Long Term Holder Supply Shock,” clearly shows such a scenario playing out multiple times over Bitcoin’s history.

“The technical name for this chart is ‘2022 is gonna be a good year,’” he summarized to Twitter followers.

\\ Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply Shock chart. Source: Willy Woo/Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, long-term holders already control a near-record proportion of the BTC supply, leading to expectations that the fight over the remaining coins will be more heated than ever.

This should be assisted when a physical ETF is approved, something which could happen as soon as November and continue for several months.

The BTC balance across major exchanges tracked by CryptoQuant, meanwhile, has settled at just under 2.4 million BTC after a precipitous fall in September.

The next Bitcoin bear market will come

With so much excitement about the possible Bitcoin price top this year and just how high it could be, some analysts are already turning their attention to the flipside — the bear market.

Related: Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, ETH, SOL, MATIC, FTM

Historically, nothing goes up in a straight line, and Bitcoin is no exception. Each halving cycle has seen a price peak the year after the block subsidy halving, followed by a mid-cycle price bottom.

This cycle, several well-known market participants claim, will be no different.

As such, a price peak will be followed by an extended comedown, in line with both 2014 and 2018.

For popular Twitter analyst TechDev, this floor should nonetheless be an order of magnitude higher than the last — as much as $60,000 — but the process should already begin before 2021 is over.

“I want a lengthened cycle. Who doesn’t? But nothing I’ve seen macro PA-wise suggests it will happen,” he warned followers on the weekend.

“Watch your indicators. 2-week RSI channel, RVI 92-93. If they’re hit, I’m out. Ignore them in hopes of a new paradigm and you’re likely to get dumped on by those who don’t.”

Out of several accompanying charts, one neatly showed how Bitcoin’s relative strength index on two-week timeframes neatly captured each peak.

\\ BTC/USD annotated chart with RSI peaks highlighted. Source: TechDev/Twitter

Fellow Twitter personality Rekt Capital likewise took the opportunity to remind followers and subscribers of the need to time profit-taking.

“People think BTC will never see another -80% Bear Market because it is now mainstream too mature of an asset,” he argued.

“Let’s not forget there was a -53% correction just months ago. Average Bear Market is -84.5% deep. It’s very likely one will occur after this Bull Market.”

The weekend nonetheless produced an optimistic forecast for the bear market, with Dan Morehead, CEO of Pantera Capital, claiming the trough would be “shallower” than the others.

As Cointelegraph reported, other measures are eyeing the good times to continue into 2022, even for Bitcoin. Earlier this month, PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow-based Bitcoin price forecasting models, proclaimed that the bull run has at least six months left to run.

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74428.b50eafaa-1998-4592-a0a2-21907a4c1dd2.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:11548,shares:91,tags:[{id:A,slug:eE,title:J,url:es},{id:fj,slug:fk,title:fl,url:fm},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74428regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:fh,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"top-5-cryptocurrencies-to-watch-this-week-btc-eth-sol-matic-ftm",url:mL,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/top-5-cryptocurrencies-to-watch-this-week-btc-eth-sol-matic-ftm",title:hs,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mM,datePublished:fN,dateHuman:"22 hours ago",humanDateTime:"2021-10-17 22:30",dateISOFull:"2021-10-17T21:30:00+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:aA,hour:cm,minute:eJ,second:f,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:ns,authorUrl:nt,authorAvatar:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/storage/uploads/view/f10b99b4bae7c37e4f1752f3b6b7228a.jpg",previewText:"Bitcoin’s shallow pullback increases the prospect of a new all-time high in the short term and altcoins like ETH, SOL, MATIC and FTM could move higher while BTC prepares for its next move. ",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin’s price action remains strong and a rally to a new all-time high is likely to catalyze a breakout from ETH, $SOL, MATIC, and $FTM.",badgeSlug:j,badgeName:nu,fullText:"

On Oct. 15, news that a Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) could start trading as early as next week sent Bitcoin price to $62,933 but the rally has cooled off since then.

Some market participants believe that traders who bought the rumor of approval for a Bitcoin ETF product may sell on the news. Crypto trading firm QCP Capital said in an update that the approval of futures-based ETFs is unlikely to provide a long-term boost for Bitcoin prices similar to the one seen in the fourth quarter of 2020.

While high volatility cannot be ruled out in the near term, investors should focus on the major trend and not get caught in minor corrections that are part of the path to new all-time highs.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

According to Foxbit founder João Canhada, his daughter has earned a 6,500% profit on the one Bitcoin gift she received when she was born in 2017. Although she couldn’t have traded the coin at such a young age, the returns show that patient investors who are not perturbed by a minor fall can end up with huge returns.

Could Bitcoin's rally to a new all-time high pull altcoins along with it? Let’s study the charts of the top five cryptocurrencies that could outperform in the short term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin soared above the $58,000 resistance and the psychological mark at $60,000 on Oct. 15. The bears are attempting to stall the up-move at $62,933 but the positive sign is that bulls have not given up much ground. This suggests that traders are not closing their positions after the recent up-move because they anticipate another leg up.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages are sloping up and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the overbought zone, indicating that bulls are in control. If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the $62,933 to $64,854 resistance zone, the BTC/USDT pair may rally to $75,000.

The immediate support to watch on the downside is $58,000. A break and close below this level could prompt short-term traders to book profits, pulling the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($54,336).

A bounce off the 20-day EMA will suggest that sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. The bulls will then make one more attempt to resume the uptrend. On the contrary, a break and close below the 20-day EMA will suggest that the bullish momentum has weakened.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair has been rising in a steady uptrend on the four-hour chart. The bears have not been able to sink and sustain the price below the 50-simple moving average since the pair broke above the symmetrical triangle.

If the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, the possibility of a break above $62,933 may increase because it will suggest that traders are not waiting for a deeper correction to buy. This bullish assumption will invalidate if bears sink and sustain the pair below the 50-SMA. Such a move could open the doors for a drop to $54,000 and then to $52,290.

ETH/USDT

Ether’s (ETH) break and close above the neckline on Oct. 14 completed the inverse head and shoulders pattern. The long wick on the Oct. 16 candlestick suggests that bears are attempting to stall the up-move in the $4,000 to $4,027.88 zone.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current level, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the breakout level at the neckline. This is an important support for the bulls to defend. If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will again try to clear the overhead hurdle.

A breakout and close above $4,027.88 could clear the path for a rally to the all-time high at $4,372.72 and next to the pattern target at $4,657. Conversely, a break below the moving averages could sink the price to $3,257. The bears will gain the upper hand if this support is breached.

ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are defending the psychological resistance at $4,000 while bulls are trying to keep the price above the 20-EMA. The RSI has dropped close to the midpoint and the 20-EMA is flattening out, suggesting a possible consolidation in the near term.

A break and close above $4,000 could signal the resumption of the up-move. Conversely, a break below the neckline of the setup will be the first sign that the momentum may be weakening. The pair could then decline to $3,400.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) broke out and closed above the downtrend line on Oct. 15, which is the first sign that bulls are attempting a comeback. The bears tried to pull the price back below the downtrend line on Oct. 16 but failed.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls sustain the price above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to the 61.80% resistance at $177.80. This is an important level for the bears to defend because if bulls clear this hurdle, the pair could rise to the 78.6% retracement level at $194.60 and later retest the all-time high at $216.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that traders are closing their positions on pullbacks. The pair could then drop to the critical support at $116.

SOL/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the pair has been trading between $156.36 and $165.61 since breaking out of the downtrend line. If buyers propel and sustain the price above $165.61, the uptrend may resume.

The first target is the overhead zone between $174.86 and $177.79. Alternatively, a break and close below $156.36 could open the doors for a decline to $147.11. Until then, the pair may continue to consolidate in the tight range.

Related: Why HODL for 48 hours? Because your altcoin wallet will thank you

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) has been trading in a large range between $1 and $1.80 for the past few days. The 20-day EMA ($1.32) has started to turn up and the RSI has risen into the positive territory, indicating that bulls are attempting to gain the upper hand.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The MATIC/USDT pair could rise to $1.80, which is likely to act as a tough obstacle. If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA.

A strong rebound off this support will suggest that sentiment has turned positive and traders are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break and close above $1.80.

If that happens, the pair could start a new uptrend to $2.40 and then retest the all-time high at $2.70. Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the moving averages, the pair could slide to $1.20 and then to $1.

MATIC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone, suggesting that bulls have the upper hand in the short term. The bulls pushed the price above the overhead resistance zone at $1.45 to $1.50 but selling at higher levels has pulled the price back into the zone.

If the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, the bulls will make one more attempt to resume the up-move. A breakout and close above $1.63 could clear the path for a rally to $1.80. This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down and breaks below $1.45.

FTM/USDT

Fantom’s FTM token is in a strong uptrend. The bulls successfully defended the breakout level at $1.94, indicating that sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips.

FTM/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping moving averages indicate advantage to buyers but the negative divergence on the RSI is warning that the bullish momentum may be weakening. If bulls push the price above $2.45, the uptrend may continue, with the next target objective at $3.20.

On the other hand, if the price turns down from $2.45, the FTM/USDT pair may drop to $1.94 and consolidate between these two levels for a few days. A break and close below the 20-day EMA ($1.85) may signal the start of a deeper correction.

FTM/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are currently attempting to sustain the price above the descending channel. If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to $2.45. This level may act as stiff resistance but if bulls overcome it, the uptrend may resume.

Alternatively, if the price fails to sustain above the channel, it will suggest that demand dries up at higher levels. The pair may then continue to trade inside the channel. A break and close below the channel could pull the pair down to $1.50.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74416.6a75bcc3-1da9-4f9d-8be5-cfaa77dc4e13.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:22794,shares:93,tags:[{id:A,slug:eE,title:J,url:es},{id:fb,slug:fc,title:fd,url:fe},{id:eF,slug:eG,title:fG,url:eH},{id:mS,slug:hC,title:Y,url:gp},{id:fj,slug:fk,title:fl,url:fm},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp},{id:"2183",slug:"cryptocurrency-exchange",title:"Cryptocurrency Exchange",url:"/tags/cryptocurrency-exchange"},{id:"7680",slug:"price-analysis",title:nu,url:"/tags/price-analysis"},{id:nl,slug:nm,title:nn,url:no},{id:"9524",slug:"solana",title:"Solana",url:"/tags/solana"},{id:"9577",slug:"polygon",title:"Polygon",url:"/tags/polygon"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74416regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:eI,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"centric-swap-leads-uptober-after-a-swift-1-000-gain-here-s-why-it-could-go-higher",url:mN,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/centric-swap-leads-uptober-after-a-swift-1-000-gain-here-s-why-it-could-go-higher",title:ht,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mO,datePublished:fN,dateHuman:"23 hours ago",humanDateTime:"2021-10-17 21:00",dateISOFull:"2021-10-17T20:00:00+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:aA,hour:e$,minute:f,second:f,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:mr,authorUrl:ms,authorAvatar:mt,previewText:"CNS price rallied roughly 1,000% in the past 5 weeks as new partnerships, a chain migration and the promise of “announcements upon announcements” lure new investors. ",twitterLeadText:"Centric Swap booked a swift 1,000% gain after new partnerships, the promise of “announcements upon announcements” and a clear pattern of accumulation give the project a boost that lures in new investors. ",badgeSlug:j,badgeName:er,fullText:"

In the past few weeks, Centric Swap (CNS), a dual-token model that gives stakers a fixed hourly yield that “stabilizes over time as it self-regulates token supply to meet ongoing changes in demand,” has rallied more than 850% and still about 200% away from its previous all-time high.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that since hitting a low of $0.000104 on Sept. 9, the price of CNS has skyrocketed 1,130% to a daily high at $0.0017659 on Oct. 15 as its 24-hour trading volume spiked 130% to $6.4 million.

CNS/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Three reasons for the rapid rise in CNS price include the expansion of the project’s ecosystem through partnerships, a $1 billion injection by Binance into the DeFi ecosystem on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC) and the promise of multiple upcoming developments and announcements by the project’s developers.

Centric's ecosystem expands

Real-world adoption is probably one of the best validation signals for a project because the increased token utility tends to boost prices and it also brings new attention to the project.

Over the past couple of months, the Centric Swap protocol signed a handful of partnerships with companies like Tourvest Travel Services and Absolute World, which will allow CNS to be used as a payment option for traveling expenses.

Other big partnerships include a collaboration with Goldgenie, which specializes in high-end luxury items like gold-plated cell phones and a partnership with the decentralized cross-chain bridge CroxSwap.

Binance Smart Chain invests in CNS

On July 15, Centric Swap migrated from the Tron network to the Binance Smart Chain. This gave the project access to the active trading community on BSC which has helped boost its exposure and increase its trading volume.

This turned out to be a timely move because Binance recently announced that it would investing $1 billion toward developing the DeFi ecosystem on the BSC, which Centric Swap is now a part of.

Protocol investments and developer incentive plans have grown in popularity in recent months after multiple projects, including Avalance, Fantom and Terra used the tactic to grow their communities and attract liquidity to their DeFi ecosystems. In each instance, the tactic lead to a strong increase in each project's token price.

Related: Ethereum alternatives and layer-one solutions see steady gains in September

Teasing upcoming announcements

The project’s Twitter feed shows that prior to the recent announcements such as the Absolute World partnership, the team at Centric dropped numerous hints about upcoming developments may have excited community members and triggered a buying spree.

Attention #CentricWarriors! Who is excited for this week's (Thursday's) partnership announcement? The first 100 people will receive an incredible promotional offer! Don't miss it! $CNR $CNS #BSCGem #BSC #BinanceSmartChain pic.twitter.com/nZR6hVHW3k

— Centric Official (@CentricRise) October 6, 2021 \n\n

The announcement of an announcement approach is a popular marketing tactic used in the cryptocurrency sector, but it remains to be seen if this will offer a sustainable pump in price or result in a buy the rumor, sell the news scenario.

When one Twitter user suggested that the project would amount to nothing more than a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" event, Centric chief operating officer Thomas Butcher rebuffed the idea and said that there is more in the pipeline for Centric in the coming months.

Butcher said:

“It doesn't matter, we have even more news behind that news, and more news behind that news, and more news behind that news... See the pattern that we're entering.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74415.9a1b15e6-532c-49c9-bb25-ccf869da769c.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:7767,shares:73,tags:[{id:fb,slug:fc,title:fd,url:fe},{id:eF,slug:eG,title:fG,url:eH},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp},{id:"7645",slug:"binance",title:"Binance",url:"/tags/binance"},{id:mu,slug:mv,title:gd,url:ge},{id:fH,slug:fI,title:er,url:fJ},{id:"9527",slug:"bsc",title:"BSC",url:"/tags/bsc"}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74415regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:cr,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"next-bitcoin-price-crash-will-be-shallower-than-80-says-pantera-capital-ceo",url:hu,absoluteUrl:nv,title:gj,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:hv,datePublished:fN,dateHuman:hR,humanDateTime:"2021-10-17 19:00",dateISOFull:"2021-10-17T18:00:17+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:aA,hour:M,minute:f,second:aA,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:gn,authorUrl:go,authorAvatar:hA,previewText:"Bitcoin price increases will also be less dramatic moving forward, the report suggests.",twitterLeadText:"Bitcoin's tendency to crash by over 80% after bull cycles might come to an end but there's a catch. ",badgeSlug:hB,badgeName:v,fullText:"

Bitcoin’s (BTC) market tendency to crash by over 80% after logging strong bull runs might come to an end.

That is according to a new report published by California-based hedge fund Pantera Capital. In detail, the report notes that the recent periods of BTC price drops have been less severe than in the past.

For instance, in 2013–2015 and 2017–2018, Bitcoin crashed by as much as 83% after topping out near $1,111 and $20,089, respectively. Similarly, the cryptocurrency’s bull run in 2019–2020 and 2020–2021 led to massive price corrections. Nevertheless, the scales of their retracements afterward were -61% and -54%, respectively.

\\ Bitcoin bull and bear markets across its history. Source: Pantera Capital

Dan Morehead, CEO of Pantera Capital, highlighted the consistent drop in selling sentiment after the 2013–2015 and 2017–2018 bearish cycles, noting that future bear markets would be “shallower.” He explained:

“I long advocated that as the market becomes broader, more valuable, and more institutional the amplitude of prices swings will moderate.”

The statements appeared as Bitcoin renewed its bullish strength to retest its current record high near $65,000.

BTC/USD rallied above $60,000 for the first time since early May as the United States Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) after years of rejecting similar investment products.

The approval of ProShare’s Bitcoin Strategy ETF raised expectations that it would make it easier for institutional investors to gain exposure in the BTC market. That also helped Bitcoin wipe almost all the losses incurred during the April–July bear cycle as BTC’s price doubled to reclaim levels above $60,000.

Bitcoin price cycles throughout the history. Source: Pantera Capital

BTC undervalued?

It’s becoming increasingly common to hear $100,000 valuations as Bitcoin grows to become a mainstream financial asset, with its first ETF approval seeming to be right around the corner.

Related: $200K BTC price ‘programmed’ as Bitcoin heads toward 2nd RSI peak

Morehead cited the popular stock-to-flow model, which studies the impact of Bitcoin’s “halving” events on prices, to rule out a similar bullish outlook for the cryptocurrency. He noted that the first halving reduced the new Bitcoin issuance rate by 15% of the total outstanding supply (around 10.5 million BTC), leading to a 9,212% BTC price rally.

Reduction in Bitcoin supply after each halving. Source: Pantera Capital

Similarly, the second halving decreased the supply of new Bitcoin by one-third of the total outstanding Bitcoin (~15.75 million BTC). It led to a 2,910% bull run, almost a third of the previous one, thus showing a lesser impact on Bitcoin’s price.

Post-Bitcoin halving rallies. Source: Pantera Capital

The last halving was on May 11, 2020, which further reduced the amount of new BTC against the circulating supply, with Bitcoin rallying by over 720% since.

“The flipside is we probably won’t see any more of the 100x-in-a-year rallies either,” said Morehead, adding:

“The cycles shown logarithmically make today’s level look cheap to me.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n

\n\n\n",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74414.8ae6da45-0c64-4429-83c4-88229f9b5575.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:nw,shares:142,tags:[{id:A,slug:eE,title:J,url:es},{id:fb,slug:fc,title:fd,url:fe},{id:hD,slug:hE,title:gq,url:hF},{id:fj,slug:fk,title:fl,url:fm},{id:mT,slug:mU,title:mV,url:mW},{id:"1212",slug:"sec",title:"SEC",url:"/tags/sec"},{id:hi,slug:hj,title:hk,url:hl},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp},{id:hG,slug:hH,title:hI,url:hJ},{id:mX,slug:mY,title:mZ,url:m_},{id:m$,slug:na,title:nb,url:nc},{id:nd,slug:ne,title:nf,url:ng},{id:hK,slug:hL,title:hM,url:hN},{id:hO,slug:E,title:v,url:hP}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74414regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:et,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"btc-price-eyes-all-time-high-weekly-close-above-60k-ahead-of-bitcoin-etf-turbulence",url:mP,absoluteUrl:"https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-eyes-all-time-high-weekly-close-above-60k-ahead-of-bitcoin-etf-turbulence",title:hw,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:mQ,datePublished:fN,dateHuman:hR,humanDateTime:"2021-10-17 12:41",dateISOFull:"2021-10-17T11:41:12+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:aA,hour:ct,minute:nx,second:eL,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:fL,authorUrl:fM,authorAvatar:hz,previewText:"Holding above $60,000 on Sunday should all but guarantee a record weekly close, data shows.",twitterLeadText:"Here comes a new record-high weekly close for Bitcoin.",badgeSlug:j,badgeName:"Market Update",fullText:"

Bitcoin (BTC) faces a pivotal weekly close on Oct. 17, with bulls scrambling to squash final resistance before all-time highs. 

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin on the cusp of clearing final resistance

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD ranging throughout the weekend, crucially staying above $60,000.

This week’s close was already tipped to be a deal-breaker, potentially being its highest ever — only once before has Bitcoin ended a weekly candle above the $60,000 mark.

With hours left to go, analysts were bracing for a potentially pivotal moment, one that could open up the path to uncharted territory for bulls.

“Another BTC Daily Close above the red area later today and Bitcoin will have confirmed a break beyond its final major resistance on the Weekly timeframe,” Rekt Capital commented.

\\ BTC/USD 1-day annotated candle chart (Coinbase). Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter

Fellow trader Pentoshi added that Bitcoin has now retouched its all-time high market capitalization on the daily timeframe, further reinforcing the “importance” of the current trading range.

— Pentoshi Won’t Dm You. hates Dm’s. DM's are scams (@Pentosh1) October 16, 2021 \n\n

“Buy the rumor, sell the news?”

Meanwhile, not just the end of this week but also the beginning of the next is tipped to provide exciting BTC price action.

Related: BREAKING: ProShares follows Valkyrie in approval for listing Bitcoin Strategy ETF

Monday constitutes the earliest conceivable launch day for the first approved United States Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) product.

With BTC/USD climbing as rumors of the long-awaited go-ahead hit late last week, concerns that the episode will turn into a “buy the rumor, sell the news” event remain. This could provide for volatile trading conditions.

Poll! The approval of a #bitcoin ETF by the SEC is a classic 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' event? #BitcoinETF

— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 14, 2021 \n\n

As Cointelegraph reported, misgivings also revolve around regulators halting the debut of physical Bitcoin ETFs next month, something which analysts say will stop the lion’s share of institutional capital from entering the space.

",audio:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/audio/74410.2fbbe2e1-0923-4e6a-9055-f5efa50232f2.mp3",facebookShares:d,twitterShares:d,linkedinShares:d,redditShares:d,views:14140,shares:55,tags:[{id:A,slug:eE,title:J,url:es},{id:fj,slug:fk,title:fl,url:fm},{id:hi,slug:hj,title:hk,url:hl},{id:cn,slug:co,title:ay,url:cp}],topics:[],relatedPosts:[],trackingPixelUrl:"https://zoa.cointelegraph.com/pixel?postId=74410regionId=1",showShares:b,showStats:b,isNoIndex:a},{id:fi,isDeleted:a,isDisclaimerHidden:d,isSponsored:a,isPressRelease:a,isExplained:a,slug:"why-hodl-for-48-hours-because-your-altcoin-wallet-will-thank-you",url:hx,absoluteUrl:ny,title:gk,youtubeVideoIdCover:c,cover:hy,datePublished:gr,dateHuman:gs,humanDateTime:"2021-10-16 16:21",dateISOFull:"2021-10-16T15:21:04+01:00",publishedDateTimeObject:{year:z,month:u,day:eK,hour:fn,minute:cm,second:t,millisecond:f},categorySlug:E,categoryUrl:N,categoryName:v,authorName:nz,authorUrl:nA,authorAvatar:"https://s3.cointelegraph.com/storage/uploads/view/27f8413aa7b72f2011422e8a8922c55f.jpg",previewText:"Even in the fast-paced cryptocurrency market, favorable conditions that fuel massive rallies often take days to materialize.",twitterLeadText:"Yes, even rapid-fire crypto traders can HODL. And in fact, there's some evidence they should. This quant algorithm demonstrates stronger returns over two days than within a few hours.",badgeSlug:hB,badgeName:v,fullText:"

It might seem that the volatility of digital assets’ prices and the lightning speed with which crypto markets move would mean that those who act fastest secure the heftiest rewards.

And, in certain cases, this holds true. For example, when an announcement of a token’s listing on Coinbase or Binance first goes public, and the asset’s price line becomes all but vertical.

But, in many cases, the tortoise beats the hare.

This principle is clearly at work when it comes to traders using quant-style tools to enhance their decision-making. One example is the VORTECS™ Score, an algorithmic comparison between historic and present patterns of market and social activity around a coin.

While the VORTECS™ algorithm is trained to detect historically bullish conditions around crypto assets, high scores are rarely followed by price surges immediately. In fact, the highest returns consistently arrive over the next few days after peak scores show up. What does it reveal about the nature of the crypto market?

The early bird gets the worm (but waits to eat it)

Exclusively available to the subscribers of Cointelegraph Markets Pro, the VORTECS™ Score is an artificial intelligence-powered indicator that looks for historic similarities across a multidimensional set of variables. These include changes in the price of a crypto asset, trading volume, social sentiment and tweet volume, among others.

The higher the VORTECS™ Score, the more confident the model is that the observed combination of the key metrics around the token resembles past conditions that foreshadowed significant price hikes. Scores above 80 are considered confidently bullish, while a rarer sight of a 90+ Score suggests that the asset’s outlook is tremendously favorable, judging by its historic record of price action.

The timing, however, is intentionally fuzzy, as the model is designed to detect conditions that had previously preceded rallies by 12 to 72 hours. In fact, although the algorithm is designed to flag bullish conditions as early as possible, it consistently delivers best results to crypto traders within days, rather than hours.

Historical data show that, on average, assets that score high on the VORTECS™ Score deliver consistent small returns as soon as six hours after reaching the Scores of 80, 85 and 90.

Thus, crypto investors who rely on Markets Pro data to refine their trading strategies are often tempted to lock in profits early. The same data, however, suggests that it often makes sense to hold steady rather than grab the initial gains.

HODL, if only for a day or two?

The table below presents average returns after a crypto asset cleared a score of 80, 85, or 90 over a week. Each asset could only yield one observation per day, i.e. if a coin went from 79 to 81, then back to 79 and then to 80 once again in a few hours, only its first entry to 80+ would count.

As visible in the table, the more time passes after assets clear the threshold of 80, 85, or 90 VORTECS™ Score, the more likely they are to deliver larger returns. While these stats only reflect price movement from a single week, the pattern is actually observed very consistently throughout Markets Pro history, dating back to early 2021.

In fact, 48 hours is not the limit. When it comes to ultra-high scores above 90, some Markets Pro subscribers report generating consistently large gains from holding such coins for a full week, or 168 hours.

These observations suggest that the crypto market could be not as chaotic and whimsical as many believe. Although many moves are clearly driven by waves of FUD and hype, the wider marketplace of digital assets exhibits identifiable regularities and recurring patterns of trading and social activities that can take days and weeks to build up before they move asset prices.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro’s VORTECS™ Score is simply one way to identify the conditions that lead to these moves — as early as possible. It’s up to the individual trader to decide when to take the profits.

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to members on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included. It carries a 14-day money-back policy, to ensure that it fits the crypto trading and investing research needs of subscribers, and members can cancel anytime.

Cointelegraph is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing or as otherwise specified. Live-tested strategies are not recommendations. Consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions.

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b",open:1.488,openFormatted:"1.49",high:1.953,highFormatted:"1.95",low:1.37,lowFormatted:"1.37",volume24hour:33952882305.59946,volume24hourFormatted:"33.95 b",coinTradeVol:dP,coinTradeVolFormatted:dQ,supply:dR,supplyFormatted:dS},{id:G,name:bI,label:bJ,url:bK,value:mj,valueAltDesktop:mj,valueAltMobile:mj,changePercentage:"-1.66%",changeForWeek:-2.04,changeForWeekFormatted:"-2.04%",changeForMonth:.23,changeForMonthFormatted:"+0.23%",isUp:a,isDown:b,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:43786413510.6898,mktcapFormatted:"43.79 b",open:332.6,openFormatted:"332.60",high:383.07,highFormatted:"383.07",low:302.51,lowFormatted:"302.51",volume24hour:5473108024.530181,volume24hourFormatted:"5.47 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b",open:re,openFormatted:rf,high:1.193,highFormatted:"1.19",low:.9526,lowFormatted:gM,volume24hour:393134588.2742994,volume24hourFormatted:"393.13 m",coinTradeVol:d$,coinTradeVolFormatted:ea,supply:eb,supplyFormatted:ec},{id:W,name:bS,label:bT,url:bU,value:fF,valueAltDesktop:fF,valueAltMobile:fF,changePercentage:"-0.46%",changeForWeek:sK,changeForWeekFormatted:kN,changeForMonth:tA,changeForMonthFormatted:tB,isUp:a,isDown:b,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:210269393356.0714,mktcapFormatted:"210.27 b",open:ml,openFormatted:e_,high:ml,highFormatted:e_,low:ml,lowFormatted:e_,volume24hour:23197549873.919197,volume24hourFormatted:"23.20 b",coinTradeVol:ed,coinTradeVolFormatted:cj,supply:ee,supplyFormatted:ef},{id:bV,name:bW,label:bX,url:bY,value:he,valueAltDesktop:he,valueAltMobile:he,changePercentage:qS,changeForWeek:rB,changeForWeekFormatted:jq,changeForMonth:1.14,changeForMonthFormatted:"+1.14%",isUp:a,isDown:b,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:29868543087.560623,mktcapFormatted:"29.87 b",open:1.176,openFormatted:he,high:rO,highFormatted:"1.35",low:1.071,lowFormatted:iL,volume24hour:217772448.02036297,volume24hourFormatted:"217.77 m",coinTradeVol:eg,coinTradeVolFormatted:eh,supply:ei,supplyFormatted:ck},{id:bZ,name:b_,label:b$,url:ca,value:mm,valueAltDesktop:mm,valueAltMobile:mm,changePercentage:"-2.67%",changeForWeek:-6.2,changeForWeekFormatted:"-6.20%",changeForMonth:-26.9,changeForMonthFormatted:"-26.90%",isUp:a,isDown:b,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:45502130511.55833,mktcapFormatted:"45.50 b",open:202.98,openFormatted:"202.98",high:230.24,highFormatted:"230.24",low:182.01,lowFormatted:"182.01",volume24hour:2247294852.133417,volume24hourFormatted:"2.25 b",coinTradeVol:ej,coinTradeVolFormatted:ek,supply:el,supplyFormatted:em},{id:cb,name:cc,label:cd,url:ce,value:mn,valueAltDesktop:mn,valueAltMobile:mn,changePercentage:"+1.45%",changeForWeek:4.2,changeForWeekFormatted:"+4.20%",changeForMonth:.68,changeForMonthFormatted:"+0.68%",isUp:b,isDown:a,isVisibleOnDesktop:a,isVisibleOnMobile:a,mktcap:17951189294.14061,mktcapFormatted:"17.95 b",open:M,openFormatted:"18.00",high:21.35,highFormatted:"21.35",low:16.49,lowFormatted:"16.49",volume24hour:18691832.02865017,volume24hourFormatted:"18.69 m",coinTradeVol:en,coinTradeVolFormatted:eo,supply:ep,supplyFormatted:eq}]},currencies:[{id:qd,name:k,sign:qe,value:gI},{id:qf,name:l,sign:qg,value:gN},{id:qh,name:m,sign:qi,value:gP},{id:qj,name:n,sign:gH,value:gU},{id:qk,name:o,sign:ql,value:gW},{id:qm,name:p,sign:qn,value:gZ},{id:qo,name:q,sign:qp,value:g_},{id:qq,name:qr,sign:qs,value:g$},{id:qt,name:x,sign:gH,value:hc}],graphs:{}},types:{},user:{isAuthed:a,isAuthedBySocials:a,token:h,id:h,firstName:c,lastName:c,userName:c,avatar:c,email:c,description:c,userGaId:c,ipAddress:"51.15.202.211",analyticsData:[],sessionId:c},vendors:{isVendorsModalShown:a,info:{},localI18n:{}},viewport:{isWindowActive:b,viewportWidth:f,viewportHeight:f,scrollTop:f,scrollIsLocked:a,breakpoint:"XS",isOverlayVisible:a,userDeviceType:{apple:{phone:a,ipod:a,tablet:a,device:a},amazon:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},android:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},windows:{phone:a,tablet:a,device:a},other:{blackberry:a,blackberry10:a,opera:a,firefox:a,chrome:a,safari:a,device:a},any:a,phone:a,tablet:a},bottomZoneHeight:f}},serverRendered:b,routePath:hg}}(false,true,"",void 0,2,0,"_self",null,1,"default","USD","EUR","GBP","JPY","RUR","KRW","TRY",3,"Language",4,10,"Market Analysis","en","CNY","1",2021,"4","EOS","NEO","2","market-analysis","es","23","promo_button","2.78 b","Bitcoin","https://hitbtc.com/?ref_id=5cba0be404aa3","changelly-button",18,"/category/market-analysis","adbutler","xxs","xs","sm","md","lg",50,"11","27",5,"Ethereum","7","17","https://changelly.com?utm_source=cointelegraphutm_medium=referralutm_campaign=changellyctengbuttonref_id=le9ssi8dgmskmqu0","hitbtc-button","9","22",48,"bybit2-button","bbt","https://www.bybit.com/en-US/register?medium=paid_bannersource=cointelegraphchannel=mkt_campaign=600rewardscontent=en_headerbuttonterm=button",79,138,"article","cointelegraph.com","Dogecoin","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=7376af3992","https://cointelegraph.us3.list-manage.com/subscribe/post-json?u=2c088712615955cd2f82aa968id=aad9f6b505","21","26","/bitcoin-cash-price-index","/ltc-price-index","/xrp-price-index","/xmr-price-index","_blank","8","12","2021-10-18","Markets","en.LanguageType.1",17,6,"Note that all trading strategies are to be used at your own risk. Before trading, we recommend to make sure that you have a clear understanding of cryptocurrencies and how they are traded.",51,"BTC","/bitcoin-price","ETH","/ethereum-price","3","LTC","Litecoin","XRP","Ripple","6","BCH","Bitcoin Cash","XMR","Monero","DASH","Dash","/dash-price-index","/eos-price-index","ZEC","Zcash","/zec-price-index","ADA","Cardano","/ada-price-index","13","/neo-price-index","14","TRX","TRON","/tron-price-index","15","BNB","Binance Coin","/binance-coin-price-index","16","XLM","Stellar","/stellar-price-index","USDT","Tether","/tether-price-index","18","MIOTA","IOTA","/iota-price-index","19","ONT","Ontology","/ontology-price-index","20","MKR","Maker","/maker-price-index","BSV","Bitcoin SV","/bsv-price-index","DOGE","/doge-price-index","ETC","Ethereum Classic","/etc-price-index","24","XTZ","Tezos","/xtz-price-index","XEM","NEM","/nem-price-index","USDC","USD Coin","/usdc-price-index","28","CRO","Crypto.com Coin","/crypto-com-price-index","29","ATOM","Cosmos","/cosmos-price-index","30","LEO","UNUS SED LEO","/leo-price-index","3.63 b","1.04 b","1.29 b","1.00","3.61 b","30.26 b","0.86",21,"2014","markets","/tags/markets","74428","74414",8,11,"es.cointelegraph.com","Changelly",47,95,652502.53,"652.50 k",18847331,"18.85 m",5123690.97,"5.12 m",117978860.5615,"117.98 m",15071109.65,"15.07 m",84000000,"84.00 m",3633320434.51,99990202996,"99.99 b",2145226.63,"2.15 m",18875756.25,"18.88 m",671734.8,"671.73 k",18013447.05530108,"18.01 m",1348607.83,"1.35 m",10385263.387265,"10.39 m",251543984.03,"251.54 m",1037004658.1314,3077103.5,"3.08 m",12892400,"12.89 m",1294664289.61,33250650235.236,"33.25 b",5623940.09,"5.62 m",100000000,"100.00 m",12328197495.49,"12.33 b",100850743811.662,"100.85 b",4427197.39,"4.43 m",166801148,"166.80 m",2782985749.41,50001802717.22429,"50.00 b",71983466927.08,"71.98 b",71385677464.76012,"71.39 b",59830063.31,"59.83 m",2779530283,133733917.02,"133.73 m",1000000000,"1.00 b",42870.61,"42.87 k",991328.38195493,"991.33 k",1973655.55,"1.97 m",18872795.39423905,"18.87 m",20885272803.7,"20.89 b",131746758767.56764,"131.75 b",16285975.53,"16.29 m",210700000,"210.70 m",47137691.87,"47.14 m",892779845.495111,"892.78 m",365418067.47,"365.42 m",8999999999,"9.00 b",3608353802.01,32707176796.131256,"32.71 b",184193394.37,"184.19 m",30263013692,11019526.15,"11.02 m",280902595.937598,"280.90 m",993313.04,"993.31 k",985239504,"985.24 m","Altcoin Watch","/tags/bitcoin","74410",9,"tr","en.LanguageType.2","br","cointelegraph.com.br","pt-BR","youtube","side","Y2hhbmdlbGx5LWJ1dHRvbg==","1.08","bitcoin","139","altcoin","/tags/altcoin","74415",30,16,12,"en.LanguageType.23","Large devices"," 1200px","Medium devices"," 992px","Small tablets"," 768px","Smartphones"," 480px","Extra small devices","

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